| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site |
Playoff Game |
Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13/2026 | #9 | Buffalo Bills | 4-1-0 | 36 | @ Houston Texans | 31 | L | Houston Texans (-2.27) | 0% | -7.27 | ||||||
| 9/20/2026 | #11 | Cincinnati Bengals | 3-2-0 | 20 | @ Houston Texans | 6 | L | Houston Texans (-6.43) | 0% | -20.43 | ||||||
| 9/27/2026 | Houston Texans | 17 | #22 | @ Indianapolis Colts | 2-3-0 | 19 | L | Indianapolis Colts (+1.77) | 0% | -3.77 | ||||||
| 10/4/2026 | #26 | Dallas Cowboys | 2-3-0 | 34 | @ Houston Texans | 30 | L | Houston Texans (-3.75) | 0% | -7.75 | ||||||
| 10/11/2026 | Houston Texans | 26 | #32 | @ Tennessee Titans | 0-5-0 | 3 | W | Tennessee Titans (+6.01) | 100% | 16.99 | ||||||
| 10/18/2026 | Houston Texans | #1 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 4-1-0 | ✓ | L | Jacksonville Jaguars (-5.40) | 34% | ||||||||
| 10/25/2026 | #25 | New York Giants | 3-1-1 | @ Houston Texans | W | Houston Texans (-8.84) | 74% | |||||||||
| 11/8/2026 | Houston Texans | #31 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | 0-5-0 | W | Los Angeles Chargers (+4.35) | 62% | |||||||||
| 11/15/2026 | Houston Texans | #13 | @ Cleveland Browns | 3-2-0 | W | Cleveland Browns (+4.52) | 63% | |||||||||
| 11/19/2026 | #22 | Indianapolis Colts | 2-3-0 | @ Houston Texans | W | Houston Texans (-4.42) | 62% | |||||||||
| 11/29/2026 | #16 | Baltimore Ravens | 4-1-0 | @ Houston Texans | W | Houston Texans (-0.98) | 53% | |||||||||
| 12/6/2026 | Houston Texans | #10 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | 3-2-0 | W | Pittsburgh Steelers (+0.40) | 51% | |||||||||
| 12/13/2026 | Houston Texans | #29 | @ Washington Commanders | 1-3-1 | W | Washington Commanders (+6.46) | 68% | |||||||||
| 12/20/2026 | #1 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 4-1-0 | @ Houston Texans | L | Houston Texans (+3.86) | 39% | |||||||||
| 12/24/2026 | Houston Texans | #24 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | 2-3-0 | W | Philadelphia Eagles (+2.90) | 58% | |||||||||
| 1/4/2027 | Houston Texans | #12 | @ Green Bay Packers | 3-2-0 | L | Green Bay Packers (-0.19) | 49% | |||||||||
| 1/10/2027 | #32 | Tennessee Titans | 0-5-0 | @ Houston Texans | W | Houston Texans (-12.22) | 80% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 18-9-022.7% 29-8-019.3% 37-10-018.9% 410-7-011.4% 56-11-011.3% 65-12-04.8% Chance of winning all 12 remaining games: 0.1% | ||||||||||||||||