| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site |
Playoff Game |
Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/9/2026 | New England Patriots | 10 | #15 | @ Seattle Seahawks | 3-2-0 | 13 | L | Seattle Seahawks (-5.97) | 0% | 2.97 | ||||||
| 9/20/2026 | #10 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 3-2-0 | 3 | @ New England Patriots | 20 | W | New England Patriots (-4.37) | 100% | 12.63 | ||||||
| 9/27/2026 | New England Patriots | 6 | #1 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | 4-1-0 | 35 | L | Jacksonville Jaguars (-2.32) | 0% | -26.68 | ||||||
| 10/4/2026 | New England Patriots | 29 | #9 | @ Buffalo Bills | 4-1-0 | 26 | W | Buffalo Bills (-1.30) | 100% | 4.30 | ||||||
| 10/11/2026 | #17 | Las Vegas Raiders | 3-2-0 | 17 | @ New England Patriots | 45 | W | New England Patriots (-5.53) | 100% | 22.47 | ||||||
| 10/18/2026 | #21 | New York Jets | 2-3-0 | @ New England Patriots | W | New England Patriots (-9.99) | 76% | |||||||||
| 10/22/2026 | New England Patriots | #6 | @ Chicago Bears | 3-2-0 | W | Chicago Bears (+0.76) | 52% | |||||||||
| 11/1/2026 | New England Patriots | #27 | @ Miami Dolphins | 0-5-0 | W | Miami Dolphins (+11.21) | 79% | |||||||||
| 11/8/2026 | #12 | Green Bay Packers | 3-2-0 | @ New England Patriots | W | New England Patriots (-6.05) | 67% | |||||||||
| 11/15/2026 | New England Patriots | #14 | Detroit Lions | 3-2-0 | ✓ | W | Detroit Lions (+3.45) | 60% | ||||||||
| 11/29/2026 | New England Patriots | #31 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | 0-5-0 | W | Los Angeles Chargers (+7.49) | 70% | |||||||||
| 12/6/2026 | #9 | Buffalo Bills | 4-1-0 | @ New England Patriots | W | New England Patriots (-3.63) | 60% | |||||||||
| 12/10/2026 | #4 | Minnesota Vikings | 5-0-0 | @ New England Patriots | W | New England Patriots (-4.10) | 62% | |||||||||
| 12/21/2026 | New England Patriots | #2 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | 4-0-0 | L | Kansas City Chiefs (-0.12) | 49% | |||||||||
| 12/27/2026 | New England Patriots | #21 | @ New York Jets | 2-3-0 | W | New York Jets (+6.90) | 69% | |||||||||
| 1/3/2027 | #7 | Denver Broncos | 3-2-0 | @ New England Patriots | W | New England Patriots (-3.90) | 61% | |||||||||
| 1/10/2027 | #27 | Miami Dolphins | 0-5-0 | @ New England Patriots | W | New England Patriots (-14.31) | 84% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 111-6-023.3% 212-5-019.8% 310-7-019.1% 49-8-011.2% 513-4-011.2% 68-9-04.7% Chance of winning all 12 remaining games: 0.6% | ||||||||||||||||