| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site |
Playoff Game |
Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13/2026 | ✓ | Atlanta Falcons | 13 | #10 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | 3-2-0 | 20 | L | Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.81) | 0% | -3.19 | |||||
| 9/20/2026 | #8 | Carolina Panthers | 2-2-0 | 34 | @ Atlanta Falcons | 3 | L | Atlanta Falcons (-4.05) | 0% | -35.05 | ||||||
| 9/24/2026 | ✓ | Atlanta Falcons | 35 | #12 | @ Green Bay Packers | 3-2-0 | 14 | W | Green Bay Packers (-4.96) | 100% | 25.96 | |||||
| 10/5/2026 | ✓ | Atlanta Falcons | 45 | #23 | @ New Orleans Saints | 1-4-0 | 24 | W | New Orleans Saints (-4.43) | 100% | 25.43 | |||||
| 10/11/2026 | ✓ | #16 | Baltimore Ravens | 4-1-0 | 30 | ✓ | @ Atlanta Falcons | 23 | L | Atlanta Falcons (-0.86) | 0% | -7.86 | ||||
| 10/18/2026 | #6 | Chicago Bears | 3-2-0 | @ Atlanta Falcons | W | Atlanta Falcons (-0.35) | 51% | |||||||||
| 10/25/2026 | #3 | San Francisco 49ers | 5-0-0 | @ Atlanta Falcons | L | Atlanta Falcons (+2.74) | 42% | |||||||||
| 11/1/2026 | Atlanta Falcons | #20 | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1-4-0 | W | Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+0.77) | 52% | |||||||||
| 11/8/2026 | #11 | Cincinnati Bengals | 3-2-0 | Atlanta Falcons | ✓ | L | Atlanta Falcons (+0.81) | 47% | ||||||||
| 11/15/2026 | #2 | Kansas City Chiefs | 4-0-0 | @ Atlanta Falcons | L | Atlanta Falcons (+0.53) | 48% | |||||||||
| 11/29/2026 | Atlanta Falcons | #4 | @ Minnesota Vikings | 5-0-0 | L | Minnesota Vikings (-2.51) | 43% | |||||||||
| 12/6/2026 | #14 | Detroit Lions | 3-2-0 | @ Atlanta Falcons | W | Atlanta Falcons (-1.48) | 54% | |||||||||
| 12/13/2026 | Atlanta Falcons | #13 | @ Cleveland Browns | 3-2-0 | W | Cleveland Browns (+4.15) | 62% | |||||||||
| 12/20/2026 | Atlanta Falcons | #29 | @ Washington Commanders | 1-3-1 | W | Washington Commanders (+6.09) | 67% | |||||||||
| 12/27/2026 | #20 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1-4-0 | @ Atlanta Falcons | W | Atlanta Falcons (-3.87) | 61% | |||||||||
| 1/3/2027 | #23 | New Orleans Saints | 1-4-0 | @ Atlanta Falcons | W | Atlanta Falcons (-7.66) | 71% | |||||||||
| 1/10/2027 | Atlanta Falcons | #8 | @ Carolina Panthers | 2-2-0 | L | Carolina Panthers (-0.83) | 47% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 19-8-021.2% 28-9-021.1% 310-7-015.3% 47-10-015.3% 56-11-08.0% 611-6-07.8% Chance of winning all 12 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||||