Team Games — 2026

#4 Minnesota Vikings (5-0-0)
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Date QB1
Out?
Rank Away Team Record Score QB1
Out?
Rank Home Team Record Score Neutral
Site
Playoff
Game
Outcome Expected Outcome Expected
Probability
Actual
Deviation
9/13/2026   #12 Green Bay Packers 3-2-0 22     @ Minnesota Vikings   39     W Minnesota Vikings (-0.14) 100% 16.86
9/20/2026 ✓   Minnesota Vikings   9   #6 @ Chicago Bears 3-2-0 3     W Chicago Bears (-3.45) 100% 9.45
9/27/2026     Minnesota Vikings   23   #20 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1-4-0 16     W Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1.03) 100% 5.97
10/4/2026   #27 Miami Dolphins 0-5-0 10     @ Minnesota Vikings   15     W Minnesota Vikings (-9.03) 100% -4.03
10/11/2026     Minnesota Vikings   23   #23 @ New Orleans Saints 1-4-0 13     W New Orleans Saints (+3.59) 100% 6.41
10/25/2026   #22 Indianapolis Colts 2-3-0       @ Minnesota Vikings         W Minnesota Vikings (-5.01) 64%  
11/1/2026     Minnesota Vikings       #14 @ Detroit Lions 3-2-0       L Detroit Lions (-0.65) 48%  
11/9/2026   #9 Buffalo Bills 4-1-0       @ Minnesota Vikings         W Minnesota Vikings (-1.08) 53%  
11/15/2026     Minnesota Vikings       #12 @ Green Bay Packers 3-2-0       W Green Bay Packers (+0.40) 51%  
11/22/2026     Minnesota Vikings       #3 San Francisco 49ers 5-0-0   ✓   L San Francisco 49ers (-3.32) 40%  
11/29/2026   #19 Atlanta Falcons 2-3-0       @ Minnesota Vikings         W Minnesota Vikings (-2.51) 57%  
12/6/2026   #8 Carolina Panthers 2-2-0       @ Minnesota Vikings         W Minnesota Vikings (-3.23) 59%  
12/10/2026     Minnesota Vikings       #5 @ New England Patriots 3-2-0       L New England Patriots (-4.10) 38%  
12/20/2026   #14 Detroit Lions 3-2-0       @ Minnesota Vikings         W Minnesota Vikings (-2.45) 57%  
12/27/2026   #29 Washington Commanders 1-3-1       @ Minnesota Vikings         W Minnesota Vikings (-10.15) 76%  
1/3/2027     Minnesota Vikings       #21 @ New York Jets 2-3-0       W New York Jets (+4.35) 62%  
1/10/2027   #6 Chicago Bears 3-2-0       @ Minnesota Vikings         W Minnesota Vikings (-1.31) 54%  
PROJECTED RECORD
112-5-021.8%
211-6-020.6%
313-4-016.5%
410-7-014.1%
514-3-08.8%
69-8-06.9%
Chance of winning all 12 remaining games: 0.1%
0%10%20%30%7-10-08-9-09-8-010-7-011-6-012-5-013-4-014-3-015-2-016-1-0final record6543217-10-0: 0.5%8-9-0: 2.4%9-8-0: 6.9%10-7-0: 14.1%11-6-0: 20.6%12-5-0: 21.8%13-4-0: 16.5%14-3-0: 8.8%15-2-0: 3.1%16-1-0: 0.7%