| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site |
Playoff Game |
Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13/2026 | Washington Commanders | 22 | #24 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | 2-3-0 | 24 | L | Philadelphia Eagles (-5.52) | 0% | 3.52 | ||||||
| 9/20/2026 | Washington Commanders | 20 | #26 | @ Dallas Cowboys | 2-3-0 | 37 | L | Dallas Cowboys (-0.57) | 0% | -16.43 | ||||||
| 9/27/2026 | ✓ | #15 | Seattle Seahawks | 3-2-0 | 31 | @ Washington Commanders | 33 | W | Washington Commanders (+7.63) | 100% | 9.63 | |||||
| 10/4/2026 | #22 | Indianapolis Colts | 2-3-0 | 30 | ✓ | Washington Commanders | 13 | ✓ | L | Washington Commanders (+2.50) | 0% | -14.50 | ||||
| 10/11/2026 | ✓ | #25 | New York Giants | 3-1-1 | 27 | @ Washington Commanders | 27 | T | Washington Commanders (+0.07) | 50% | 0.07 | |||||
| 10/19/2026 | Washington Commanders | #3 | @ San Francisco 49ers | 5-0-0 | L | San Francisco 49ers (-13.47) | 17% | |||||||||
| 11/1/2026 | #24 | Philadelphia Eagles | 2-3-0 | @ Washington Commanders | L | Washington Commanders (+2.01) | 44% | |||||||||
| 11/8/2026 | #18 | Los Angeles Rams | 2-3-0 | @ Washington Commanders | L | Washington Commanders (+9.07) | 26% | |||||||||
| 11/12/2026 | Washington Commanders | #25 | @ New York Giants | 3-1-1 | L | New York Giants (-2.26) | 43% | |||||||||
| 11/23/2026 | #11 | Cincinnati Bengals | 3-2-0 | @ Washington Commanders | L | Washington Commanders (+6.90) | 31% | |||||||||
| 11/29/2026 | Washington Commanders | #30 | @ Arizona Cardinals | 1-4-0 | L | Arizona Cardinals (-3.25) | 40% | |||||||||
| 12/6/2026 | Washington Commanders | #32 | @ Tennessee Titans | 0-5-0 | W | Tennessee Titans (+1.11) | 53% | |||||||||
| 12/13/2026 | #28 | Houston Texans | 1-4-0 | @ Washington Commanders | L | Washington Commanders (+6.46) | 32% | |||||||||
| 12/20/2026 | #19 | Atlanta Falcons | 2-3-0 | @ Washington Commanders | L | Washington Commanders (+6.09) | 33% | |||||||||
| 12/27/2026 | Washington Commanders | #4 | @ Minnesota Vikings | 5-0-0 | L | Minnesota Vikings (-10.15) | 23% | |||||||||
| 1/3/2027 | Washington Commanders | #1 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | 4-1-0 | L | Jacksonville Jaguars (-14.96) | 15% | |||||||||
| 1/10/2027 | #26 | Dallas Cowboys | 2-3-0 | @ Washington Commanders | L | Washington Commanders (+1.94) | 44% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 15-11-123.5% 24-12-120.4% 36-10-118.8% 43-13-111.7% 57-9-110.7% 68-8-14.3% Chance of winning all 12 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||||