| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/2/2026 | UMBC | #81 | @ George Mason | 0-0 | L | George Mason (-9.85) | 18% | |||||||
| 11/5/2026 | UMBC | #193 | @ Marist | 0-0 | L | Marist (-3.00) | 39% | |||||||
| 11/12/2026 | #346 | Morgan St | 0-0 | @ UMBC | W | UMBC (-14.32) | 90% | |||||||
| 11/16/2026 | #229 | Iona | 0-0 | @ UMBC | W | UMBC (-5.16) | 69% | |||||||
| 11/19/2026 | UMBC | #31 | @ Ohio St | 0-0 | L | Ohio St (-20.21) | 4% | |||||||
| 11/24/2026 | UMBC | #28 | @ Iowa | 0-0 | L | Iowa (-20.66) | 4% | |||||||
| 11/27/2026 | UMBC | #98 | @ G Washington | 0-0 | L | G Washington (-12.09) | 13% | |||||||
| 12/2/2026 | UMBC | #343 | @ Army | 0-0 | W | Army (+5.39) | 70% | |||||||
| 12/5/2026 | UMBC | #362 | @ Delaware St | 0-0 | W | Delaware St (+9.98) | 82% | |||||||
| 12/8/2026 | #333 | Bucknell | 0-0 | @ UMBC | W | UMBC (-10.85) | 84% | |||||||
| 12/12/2026 | UMBC | #307 | @ Wagner | 0-0 | W | Wagner (+2.60) | 60% | |||||||
| 12/22/2026 | UMBC | #71 | @ Grand Canyon | 0-0 | L | Grand Canyon (-13.82) | 11% | |||||||
| 12/29/2026 | #358 | Coppin St | 0-0 | @ UMBC | W | UMBC (-18.73) | 95% | |||||||
| 1/2/2027 | #316 | NJIT | 0-0 | @ UMBC | W | UMBC (-11.32) | 85% | |||||||
| 1/7/2027 | UMBC | #350 | @ New Hampshire | 0-0 | W | New Hampshire (+6.52) | 73% | |||||||
| 1/9/2027 | UMBC | #353 | @ Maine | 0-0 | W | Maine (+6.43) | 73% | |||||||
| 1/14/2027 | UMBC | #352 | @ Bryant | 0-0 | W | Bryant (+7.30) | 75% | |||||||
| 1/18/2027 | #339 | SUNY Albany | 0-0 | @ UMBC | W | UMBC (-9.71) | 82% | |||||||
| 1/21/2027 | #230 | Vermont | 0-0 | @ UMBC | W | UMBC (-4.47) | 67% | |||||||
| 1/23/2027 | #319 | MA Lowell | 0-0 | @ UMBC | W | UMBC (-9.77) | 82% | |||||||
| 1/28/2027 | UMBC | #363 | @ Binghamton | 0-0 | W | Binghamton (+9.39) | 81% | |||||||
| 2/4/2027 | #352 | Bryant | 0-0 | @ UMBC | W | UMBC (-13.78) | 89% | |||||||
| 2/6/2027 | UMBC | #339 | @ SUNY Albany | 0-0 | W | SUNY Albany (+4.44) | 66% | |||||||
| 2/11/2027 | #353 | Maine | 0-0 | @ UMBC | W | UMBC (-12.72) | 88% | |||||||
| 2/13/2027 | #350 | New Hampshire | 0-0 | @ UMBC | W | UMBC (-12.82) | 88% | |||||||
| 2/18/2027 | UMBC | #230 | @ Vermont | 0-0 | L | Vermont (-0.66) | 47% | |||||||
| 2/20/2027 | UMBC | #319 | @ MA Lowell | 0-0 | W | MA Lowell (+4.49) | 67% | |||||||
| 2/25/2027 | UMBC | #316 | @ NJIT | 0-0 | W | NJIT (+5.86) | 71% | |||||||
| 3/2/2027 | #363 | Binghamton | 0-0 | @ UMBC | W | UMBC (-15.93) | 92% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 119-1018.8% 218-1117.6% 320-916.1% 417-1213.3% 521-810.7% 616-138.3% Chance of winning all 29 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||