| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/3/2026 | #217 | Drexel | 0-0 | @ Virginia | W | Virginia (-22.96) | 97% | |||||||
| 11/6/2026 | #308 | Northeastern | 0-0 | @ Virginia | W | Virginia (-26.56) | 98% | |||||||
| 11/8/2026 | #14 | Arkansas | 0-0 | @ Virginia | W | Virginia (-3.14) | 62% | |||||||
| 11/10/2026 | #333 | Bucknell | 0-0 | @ Virginia | W | Virginia (-30.80) | 99% | |||||||
| 11/13/2026 | Virginia | #119 | @ Maryland | 0-0 | W | Maryland (+7.44) | 76% | |||||||
| 11/17/2026 | #258 | Old Dominion | 0-0 | @ Virginia | W | Virginia (-24.87) | 98% | |||||||
| 11/20/2026 | #329 | Loyola MD | 0-0 | @ Virginia | W | Virginia (-29.83) | 99% | |||||||
| 11/25/2026 | #101 | Marquette | 0-0 | Virginia | ✓ | W | Virginia (-7.55) | 76% | ||||||
| 11/27/2026 | #93 | Xavier | 0-0 | Virginia | ✓ | W | Virginia (-8.62) | 79% | ||||||
| 12/2/2026 | #32 | Kentucky | 0-0 | @ Virginia | W | Virginia (-4.96) | 68% | |||||||
| 12/8/2026 | #237 | Bethune-Cookman | 0-0 | @ Virginia | W | Virginia (-26.20) | 98% | |||||||
| 12/13/2026 | #239 | W Carolina | 0-0 | @ Virginia | W | Virginia (-23.97) | 98% | |||||||
| 12/20/2026 | Virginia | #7 | Connecticut | 0-0 | ✓ | L | Connecticut (-2.04) | 42% | ||||||
| 12/29/2026 | Virginia | #36 | @ Clemson | 0-0 | L | Clemson (-0.33) | 49% | |||||||
| 1/2/2027 | #45 | SMU | 0-0 | @ Virginia | W | Virginia (-6.58) | 73% | |||||||
| 1/6/2027 | Virginia | #53 | @ Stanford | 0-0 | W | Stanford (+2.67) | 60% | |||||||
| 1/9/2027 | Virginia | #61 | @ California | 0-0 | W | California (+3.36) | 63% | |||||||
| 1/13/2027 | #158 | Boston College | 0-0 | @ Virginia | W | Virginia (-17.04) | 93% | |||||||
| 1/16/2027 | Virginia | #33 | @ Miami FL | 0-0 | L | Miami FL (-1.31) | 45% | |||||||
| 1/19/2027 | Virginia | #25 | @ North Carolina | 0-0 | L | North Carolina (-1.90) | 43% | |||||||
| 1/27/2027 | #166 | Georgia Tech | 0-0 | @ Virginia | W | Virginia (-18.28) | 94% | |||||||
| 1/30/2027 | #55 | Virginia Tech | 0-0 | @ Virginia | W | Virginia (-9.53) | 81% | |||||||
| 2/3/2027 | Virginia | #89 | @ Syracuse | 0-0 | W | Syracuse (+4.40) | 66% | |||||||
| 2/6/2027 | #3 | Duke | 0-0 | @ Virginia | L | Virginia (+3.22) | 38% | |||||||
| 2/9/2027 | Virginia | #107 | @ Pittsburgh | 0-0 | W | Pittsburgh (+5.66) | 70% | |||||||
| 2/13/2027 | #100 | Notre Dame | 0-0 | @ Virginia | W | Virginia (-13.22) | 88% | |||||||
| 2/15/2027 | #21 | Louisville | 0-0 | @ Virginia | W | Virginia (-2.52) | 60% | |||||||
| 2/23/2027 | Virginia | #55 | @ Virginia Tech | 0-0 | W | Virginia Tech (+2.29) | 59% | |||||||
| 2/27/2027 | #70 | Florida St | 0-0 | @ Virginia | W | Virginia (-10.84) | 84% | |||||||
| 3/1/2027 | Virginia | #3 | @ Duke | 0-0 | L | Duke (-11.45) | 15% | |||||||
| 3/6/2027 | #39 | NC State | 0-0 | @ Virginia | W | Virginia (-5.99) | 72% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 123-817.8% 222-917.6% 324-714.6% 421-1014.2% 525-69.6% 620-119.5% Chance of winning all 31 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||