| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/2/2026 | #239 | W Carolina | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-22.02) | 97% | |||||||
| 11/6/2026 | #235 | Wofford | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-22.89) | 97% | |||||||
| 11/10/2026 | #92 | Wyoming | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-11.69) | 86% | |||||||
| 11/13/2026 | #34 | Georgia | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-3.88) | 64% | |||||||
| 11/20/2026 | #169 | Marshall | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-19.56) | 95% | |||||||
| 11/23/2026 | #182 | Monmouth NJ | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-18.84) | 95% | |||||||
| 11/27/2026 | #65 | West Virginia | 0-0 | North Carolina | ✓ | W | North Carolina (-4.05) | 65% | ||||||
| 12/1/2026 | #14 | Arkansas | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-1.56) | 56% | |||||||
| 12/6/2026 | #83 | Butler | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-9.58) | 81% | |||||||
| 12/12/2026 | North Carolina | #87 | @ Georgetown | 0-0 | W | Georgetown (+2.73) | 60% | |||||||
| 12/15/2026 | #39 | NC State | 0-0 | North Carolina | ✓ | W | North Carolina (-0.79) | 53% | ||||||
| 12/19/2026 | #32 | Kentucky | 0-0 | North Carolina | ✓ | L | North Carolina (+0.32) | 49% | ||||||
| 12/21/2026 | #347 | Citadel | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-30.53) | 99% | |||||||
| 12/30/2026 | #61 | California | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-8.60) | 79% | |||||||
| 1/2/2027 | North Carolina | #158 | @ Boston College | 0-0 | W | Boston College (+7.40) | 76% | |||||||
| 1/5/2027 | North Carolina | #21 | @ Louisville | 0-0 | L | Louisville (-6.09) | 28% | |||||||
| 1/9/2027 | #39 | NC State | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-4.19) | 66% | |||||||
| 1/13/2027 | North Carolina | #70 | @ Florida St | 0-0 | W | Florida St (+1.77) | 57% | |||||||
| 1/16/2027 | #53 | Stanford | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-7.79) | 77% | |||||||
| 1/19/2027 | #17 | Virginia | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-1.90) | 57% | |||||||
| 1/23/2027 | North Carolina | #89 | @ Syracuse | 0-0 | W | Syracuse (+2.73) | 60% | |||||||
| 1/26/2027 | #45 | SMU | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-5.18) | 69% | |||||||
| 1/30/2027 | #6 | Illinois | 0-0 | North Carolina | ✓ | L | North Carolina (+5.97) | 29% | ||||||
| 2/2/2027 | North Carolina | #100 | @ Notre Dame | 0-0 | W | Notre Dame (+3.88) | 64% | |||||||
| 2/6/2027 | #166 | Georgia Tech | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-16.26) | 92% | |||||||
| 2/8/2027 | #21 | Louisville | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-0.88) | 53% | |||||||
| 2/13/2027 | North Carolina | #3 | @ Duke | 0-0 | L | Duke (-13.38) | 11% | |||||||
| 2/20/2027 | North Carolina | #68 | @ Wake Forest | 0-0 | W | Wake Forest (+1.26) | 55% | |||||||
| 2/22/2027 | #33 | Miami FL | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-4.09) | 65% | |||||||
| 2/27/2027 | North Carolina | #55 | @ Virginia Tech | 0-0 | W | Virginia Tech (+0.73) | 53% | |||||||
| 3/2/2027 | North Carolina | #107 | @ Pittsburgh | 0-0 | W | Pittsburgh (+4.10) | 65% | |||||||
| 3/6/2027 | #3 | Duke | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | L | North Carolina (+4.87) | 32% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 121-1116.5% 220-1215.2% 322-1015.0% 419-1312.0% 523-911.5% 618-148.0% Chance of winning all 32 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||