| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/2/2026 | #198 | Campbell | 0-0 | @ NC State | W | NC State (-18.48) | 94% | |||||||
| 11/6/2026 | #156 | ETSU | 0-0 | @ NC State | W | NC State (-16.53) | 93% | |||||||
| 11/10/2026 | #273 | Presbyterian | 0-0 | @ NC State | W | NC State (-22.68) | 97% | |||||||
| 11/13/2026 | #134 | Troy | 0-0 | @ NC State | W | NC State (-16.96) | 93% | |||||||
| 11/19/2026 | NC State | #118 | Murray St | 0-0 | ✓ | W | Murray St (+8.79) | 79% | ||||||
| 11/25/2026 | #320 | Norfolk St | 0-0 | @ NC State | W | NC State (-26.69) | 98% | |||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #243 | Elon | 0-0 | @ NC State | W | NC State (-20.80) | 96% | |||||||
| 12/1/2026 | #120 | South Carolina | 0-0 | @ NC State | W | NC State (-11.09) | 85% | |||||||
| 12/6/2026 | NC State | #20 | Tennessee | 0-0 | ✓ | L | Tennessee (-3.19) | 38% | ||||||
| 12/11/2026 | #292 | UNC Greensboro | 0-0 | @ NC State | W | NC State (-25.13) | 98% | |||||||
| 12/15/2026 | NC State | #25 | North Carolina | 0-0 | ✓ | L | North Carolina (-0.79) | 47% | ||||||
| 12/19/2026 | NC State | #86 | @ Mississippi | 0-0 | W | Mississippi (+0.95) | 54% | |||||||
| 12/22/2026 | #290 | Alabama A&M | 0-0 | @ NC State | W | NC State (-26.29) | 98% | |||||||
| 12/29/2026 | NC State | #33 | @ Miami FL | 0-0 | L | Miami FL (-3.60) | 36% | |||||||
| 1/2/2027 | #36 | Clemson | 0-0 | @ NC State | W | NC State (-4.05) | 65% | |||||||
| 1/6/2027 | #107 | Pittsburgh | 0-0 | @ NC State | W | NC State (-10.01) | 82% | |||||||
| 1/9/2027 | NC State | #25 | @ North Carolina | 0-0 | L | North Carolina (-4.19) | 34% | |||||||
| 1/12/2027 | #45 | SMU | 0-0 | @ NC State | W | NC State (-4.16) | 65% | |||||||
| 1/19/2027 | NC State | #166 | @ Georgia Tech | 0-0 | W | Georgia Tech (+7.08) | 75% | |||||||
| 1/23/2027 | #68 | Wake Forest | 0-0 | @ NC State | W | NC State (-6.91) | 74% | |||||||
| 1/27/2027 | NC State | #61 | @ California | 0-0 | W | California (+1.12) | 54% | |||||||
| 1/30/2027 | NC State | #53 | @ Stanford | 0-0 | W | Stanford (+0.40) | 52% | |||||||
| 2/3/2027 | #70 | Florida St | 0-0 | @ NC State | W | NC State (-7.75) | 77% | |||||||
| 2/10/2027 | NC State | #68 | @ Wake Forest | 0-0 | W | Wake Forest (+0.43) | 52% | |||||||
| 2/13/2027 | #158 | Boston College | 0-0 | @ NC State | W | NC State (-14.61) | 90% | |||||||
| 2/17/2027 | NC State | #55 | @ Virginia Tech | 0-0 | L | Virginia Tech (-0.09) | 50% | |||||||
| 2/20/2027 | #61 | California | 0-0 | @ NC State | W | NC State (-7.86) | 77% | |||||||
| 2/24/2027 | #100 | Notre Dame | 0-0 | @ NC State | W | NC State (-10.13) | 83% | |||||||
| 2/27/2027 | NC State | #3 | @ Duke | 0-0 | L | Duke (-14.41) | 10% | |||||||
| 3/2/2027 | #21 | Louisville | 0-0 | @ NC State | W | NC State (-0.01) | 50% | |||||||
| 3/6/2027 | NC State | #17 | @ Virginia | 0-0 | L | Virginia (-5.99) | 28% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 121-1017.7% 222-917.2% 320-1115.0% 423-813.6% 519-1210.5% 624-78.7% Chance of winning all 31 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||