| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/2/2026 | #304 | Chattanooga | 0-0 | @ Louisville | W | Louisville (-29.06) | 99% | |||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #252 | Morehead St | 0-0 | @ Louisville | W | Louisville (-29.12) | 99% | |||||||
| 11/15/2026 | Louisville | #133 | @ Memphis | 0-0 | W | Memphis (+8.98) | 80% | |||||||
| 11/19/2026 | #311 | Stetson | 0-0 | @ Louisville | W | Louisville (-30.52) | 99% | |||||||
| 11/24/2026 | Louisville | #19 | Texas Tech | 0-0 | ✓ | W | Texas Tech (+0.74) | 53% | ||||||
| 12/1/2026 | #42 | Texas | 0-0 | @ Louisville | W | Louisville (-7.49) | 76% | |||||||
| 12/5/2026 | #1 | Michigan | 0-0 | @ Louisville | L | Louisville (+3.55) | 37% | |||||||
| 12/12/2026 | Louisville | #32 | @ Kentucky | 0-0 | L | Kentucky (-1.50) | 44% | |||||||
| 12/16/2026 | #190 | LIU Brooklyn | 0-0 | @ Louisville | W | Louisville (-24.21) | 98% | |||||||
| 12/19/2026 | #260 | E Michigan | 0-0 | @ Louisville | W | Louisville (-25.21) | 98% | |||||||
| 12/30/2026 | Louisville | #55 | @ Virginia Tech | 0-0 | W | Virginia Tech (+3.24) | 62% | |||||||
| 1/2/2027 | #53 | Stanford | 0-0 | @ Louisville | W | Louisville (-11.08) | 85% | |||||||
| 1/5/2027 | #25 | North Carolina | 0-0 | @ Louisville | W | Louisville (-6.09) | 72% | |||||||
| 1/9/2027 | Louisville | #45 | @ SMU | 0-0 | W | SMU (+0.83) | 53% | |||||||
| 1/13/2027 | #61 | California | 0-0 | @ Louisville | W | Louisville (-11.90) | 86% | |||||||
| 1/16/2027 | Louisville | #89 | @ Syracuse | 0-0 | W | Syracuse (+5.27) | 69% | |||||||
| 1/19/2027 | #33 | Miami FL | 0-0 | @ Louisville | W | Louisville (-6.64) | 74% | |||||||
| 1/27/2027 | Louisville | #158 | @ Boston College | 0-0 | W | Boston College (+10.33) | 83% | |||||||
| 1/30/2027 | Louisville | #166 | @ Georgia Tech | 0-0 | W | Georgia Tech (+10.82) | 84% | |||||||
| 2/2/2027 | #107 | Pittsburgh | 0-0 | @ Louisville | W | Louisville (-14.88) | 91% | |||||||
| 2/6/2027 | #68 | Wake Forest | 0-0 | @ Louisville | W | Louisville (-11.55) | 86% | |||||||
| 2/8/2027 | Louisville | #25 | @ North Carolina | 0-0 | L | North Carolina (-0.88) | 47% | |||||||
| 2/13/2027 | #45 | SMU | 0-0 | @ Louisville | W | Louisville (-8.00) | 77% | |||||||
| 2/15/2027 | Louisville | #17 | @ Virginia | 0-0 | L | Virginia (-2.52) | 40% | |||||||
| 2/21/2027 | Louisville | #70 | @ Florida St | 0-0 | W | Florida St (+4.48) | 67% | |||||||
| 2/24/2027 | #3 | Duke | 0-0 | @ Louisville | L | Louisville (+2.08) | 42% | |||||||
| 3/2/2027 | Louisville | #39 | @ NC State | 0-0 | L | NC State (-0.01) | 50% | |||||||
| 3/6/2027 | #36 | Clemson | 0-0 | @ Louisville | W | Louisville (-7.86) | 77% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 120-818.3% 221-717.9% 319-915.2% 422-614.0% 518-1010.3% 623-58.6% Chance of winning all 28 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||