| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/2/2026 | #294 | Florida A&M | 0-0 | Florida St | ✓ | W | Florida St (-15.50) | 92% | ||||||
| 11/6/2026 | #134 | Troy | 0-0 | @ Florida St | W | Florida St (-11.65) | 86% | |||||||
| 11/10/2026 | #5 | Florida | 0-0 | @ Florida St | L | Florida St (+7.99) | 23% | |||||||
| 11/13/2026 | #204 | TAM C. Christi | 0-0 | @ Florida St | W | Florida St (-12.73) | 88% | |||||||
| 11/17/2026 | #291 | Ball St | 0-0 | @ Florida St | W | Florida St (-18.59) | 95% | |||||||
| 11/20/2026 | #206 | WI Green Bay | 0-0 | @ Florida St | W | Florida St (-14.57) | 90% | |||||||
| 11/24/2026 | #247 | UNC Asheville | 0-0 | @ Florida St | W | Florida St (-15.67) | 92% | |||||||
| 11/29/2026 | #170 | West Florida | 0-0 | Florida St | ✓ | W | Florida St (-7.18) | 75% | ||||||
| 12/1/2026 | Florida St | #20 | @ Tennessee | 0-0 | L | Tennessee (-11.90) | 14% | |||||||
| 12/5/2026 | #67 | Dayton | 0-0 | @ Florida St | W | Florida St (-4.71) | 67% | |||||||
| 12/12/2026 | #41 | Texas A&M | 0-0 | Florida St | ✓ | L | Florida St (+3.26) | 38% | ||||||
| 12/16/2026 | #296 | Jacksonville | 0-0 | @ Florida St | W | Florida St (-19.33) | 95% | |||||||
| 12/20/2026 | #4 | Houston | 0-0 | Florida St | ✓ | L | Florida St (+10.24) | 17% | ||||||
| 12/22/2026 | #237 | Bethune-Cookman | 0-0 | @ Florida St | W | Florida St (-17.92) | 94% | |||||||
| 12/29/2026 | #89 | Syracuse | 0-0 | @ Florida St | W | Florida St (-4.02) | 65% | |||||||
| 1/6/2027 | Florida St | #61 | @ California | 0-0 | L | California (-3.02) | 39% | |||||||
| 1/9/2027 | Florida St | #53 | @ Stanford | 0-0 | L | Stanford (-3.72) | 36% | |||||||
| 1/13/2027 | #25 | North Carolina | 0-0 | @ Florida St | L | Florida St (+1.77) | 43% | |||||||
| 1/16/2027 | Florida St | #68 | @ Wake Forest | 0-0 | L | Wake Forest (-3.68) | 36% | |||||||
| 1/20/2027 | #55 | Virginia Tech | 0-0 | @ Florida St | W | Florida St (-2.10) | 58% | |||||||
| 1/23/2027 | Florida St | #36 | @ Clemson | 0-0 | L | Clemson (-6.71) | 26% | |||||||
| 1/26/2027 | #100 | Notre Dame | 0-0 | @ Florida St | W | Florida St (-5.16) | 69% | |||||||
| 1/30/2027 | #107 | Pittsburgh | 0-0 | @ Florida St | W | Florida St (-5.37) | 70% | |||||||
| 2/3/2027 | Florida St | #39 | @ NC State | 0-0 | L | NC State (-7.75) | 23% | |||||||
| 2/6/2027 | Florida St | #33 | @ Miami FL | 0-0 | L | Miami FL (-8.07) | 22% | |||||||
| 2/13/2027 | #36 | Clemson | 0-0 | @ Florida St | L | Florida St (+0.30) | 49% | |||||||
| 2/16/2027 | Florida St | #3 | @ Duke | 0-0 | L | Duke (-19.68) | 5% | |||||||
| 2/21/2027 | #21 | Louisville | 0-0 | @ Florida St | L | Florida St (+4.48) | 33% | |||||||
| 2/23/2027 | #166 | Georgia Tech | 0-0 | @ Florida St | W | Florida St (-9.68) | 82% | |||||||
| 2/27/2027 | Florida St | #17 | @ Virginia | 0-0 | L | Virginia (-10.84) | 16% | |||||||
| 3/3/2027 | Florida St | #158 | @ Boston College | 0-0 | W | Boston College (+2.61) | 60% | |||||||
| 3/6/2027 | #33 | Miami FL | 0-0 | @ Florida St | L | Florida St (+1.27) | 45% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 117-1516.9% 218-1416.6% 316-1614.3% 419-1313.6% 515-1710.0% 620-129.3% Chance of winning all 32 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||