| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/2/2026 | #343 | Army | 0-0 | @ Duke | W | Duke (-40.10) | 100% | |||||||
| 11/5/2026 | #212 | Coastal Car | 0-0 | @ Duke | W | Duke (-33.62) | 99% | |||||||
| 11/10/2026 | #10 | Michigan St | 0-0 | Duke | ✓ | W | Duke (-4.65) | 67% | ||||||
| 11/13/2026 | #257 | SIUE | 0-0 | @ Duke | W | Duke (-34.25) | 99% | |||||||
| 11/17/2026 | #6 | Illinois | 0-0 | @ Duke | W | Duke (-6.49) | 73% | |||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Duke | #159 | Washington St | 0-0 | ✓ | W | Washington St (+18.09) | 94% | ||||||
| 11/25/2026 | #7 | Connecticut | 0-0 | Duke | ✓ | W | Duke (-4.52) | 67% | ||||||
| 12/1/2026 | Duke | #5 | @ Florida | 0-0 | L | Florida (-2.54) | 40% | |||||||
| 12/4/2026 | #181 | Harvard | 0-0 | @ Duke | W | Duke (-28.71) | 99% | |||||||
| 12/8/2026 | Duke | #34 | Georgia | 0-0 | ✓ | W | Georgia (+8.24) | 78% | ||||||
| 12/15/2026 | #198 | Campbell | 0-0 | @ Duke | W | Duke (-29.97) | 99% | |||||||
| 12/17/2026 | #305 | Grambling | 0-0 | @ Duke | W | Duke (-37.15) | 100% | |||||||
| 12/21/2026 | #19 | Texas Tech | 0-0 | Duke | ✓ | W | Duke (-6.27) | 72% | ||||||
| 12/30/2026 | Duke | #166 | @ Georgia Tech | 0-0 | W | Georgia Tech (+15.94) | 92% | |||||||
| 1/2/2027 | #61 | California | 0-0 | @ Duke | W | Duke (-19.07) | 95% | |||||||
| 1/5/2027 | Duke | #89 | @ Syracuse | 0-0 | W | Syracuse (+10.79) | 84% | |||||||
| 1/9/2027 | #107 | Pittsburgh | 0-0 | @ Duke | W | Duke (-21.50) | 96% | |||||||
| 1/13/2027 | #53 | Stanford | 0-0 | @ Duke | W | Duke (-18.25) | 94% | |||||||
| 1/16/2027 | Duke | #158 | @ Boston College | 0-0 | W | Boston College (+15.46) | 92% | |||||||
| 1/20/2027 | Duke | #68 | @ Wake Forest | 0-0 | W | Wake Forest (+9.26) | 81% | |||||||
| 1/23/2027 | #100 | Notre Dame | 0-0 | @ Duke | W | Duke (-21.25) | 96% | |||||||
| 1/30/2027 | Duke | #36 | @ Clemson | 0-0 | W | Clemson (+6.50) | 73% | |||||||
| 2/1/2027 | #33 | Miami FL | 0-0 | @ Duke | W | Duke (-14.10) | 90% | |||||||
| 2/6/2027 | Duke | #17 | @ Virginia | 0-0 | W | Virginia (+3.22) | 62% | |||||||
| 2/9/2027 | Duke | #45 | @ SMU | 0-0 | W | SMU (+6.62) | 73% | |||||||
| 2/13/2027 | #25 | North Carolina | 0-0 | @ Duke | W | Duke (-13.38) | 89% | |||||||
| 2/16/2027 | #70 | Florida St | 0-0 | @ Duke | W | Duke (-19.68) | 95% | |||||||
| 2/20/2027 | #12 | Gonzaga | 0-0 | Duke | ✓ | W | Duke (-4.51) | 67% | ||||||
| 2/24/2027 | Duke | #21 | @ Louisville | 0-0 | W | Louisville (+2.08) | 58% | |||||||
| 2/27/2027 | #39 | NC State | 0-0 | @ Duke | W | Duke (-14.41) | 90% | |||||||
| 3/1/2027 | #17 | Virginia | 0-0 | @ Duke | W | Duke (-11.45) | 85% | |||||||
| 3/6/2027 | Duke | #25 | @ North Carolina | 0-0 | W | North Carolina (+4.87) | 68% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 127-520.5% 226-618.5% 328-417.5% 425-713.1% 529-311.1% 624-87.5% Chance of winning all 32 remaining games: 0.2% | ||||||||||||||