| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/8/2026 | #83 | Butler | 0-0 | @ Boise St | W | Boise St (-4.80) | 68% | |||||||
| 11/11/2026 | #171 | Oakland | 0-0 | @ Boise St | W | Boise St (-12.51) | 87% | |||||||
| 11/15/2026 | #15 | Nebraska | 0-0 | Boise St | ✓ | L | Boise St (+6.25) | 28% | ||||||
| 11/20/2026 | #108 | Sam Houston St | 0-0 | @ Boise St | W | Boise St (-8.82) | 80% | |||||||
| 11/24/2026 | #266 | Idaho St | 0-0 | @ Boise St | W | Boise St (-16.66) | 93% | |||||||
| 11/27/2026 | #211 | Drake | 0-0 | Boise St | ✓ | W | Boise St (-8.55) | 79% | ||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Boise St | #129 | North Texas | 0-0 | ✓ | W | North Texas (+6.40) | 73% | ||||||
| 11/29/2026 | #114 | N Dakota St | 0-0 | Boise St | ✓ | W | Boise St (-3.84) | 64% | ||||||
| 12/5/2026 | Boise St | #77 | @ Wichita St | 0-0 | L | Wichita St (-1.26) | 45% | |||||||
| 12/12/2026 | #204 | TAM C. Christi | 0-0 | @ Boise St | W | Boise St (-13.64) | 89% | |||||||
| 12/16/2026 | #82 | Utah Valley | 0-0 | @ Boise St | W | Boise St (-7.31) | 75% | |||||||
| 12/21/2026 | #35 | Santa Clara | 0-0 | @ Boise St | W | Boise St (-1.00) | 54% | |||||||
| 12/23/2026 | #48 | New Mexico | 0-0 | Boise St | ✓ | L | Boise St (+1.03) | 46% | ||||||
| 12/29/2026 | #275 | Lamar | 0-0 | @ Boise St | W | Boise St (-16.39) | 93% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 110-425.1% 29-521.8% 311-319.4% 48-613.2% 512-29.6% 67-75.7% Chance of winning all 14 remaining games: 0.3% | ||||||||||||||