| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/1/2026 | UT Arlington | #76 | @ Colorado St | 0-0 | L | Colorado St (-10.16) | 17% | |||||||
| 12/19/2026 | #342 | North Florida | 0-0 | @ UT Arlington | W | UT Arlington (-12.94) | 88% | |||||||
| 12/31/2026 | #296 | Jacksonville | 0-0 | @ UT Arlington | W | UT Arlington (-9.10) | 80% | |||||||
| 1/2/2027 | UT Arlington | #311 | @ Stetson | 0-0 | W | Stetson (+4.44) | 66% | |||||||
| 1/5/2027 | UT Arlington | #248 | @ FGCU | 0-0 | W | FGCU (+0.15) | 51% | |||||||
| 1/9/2027 | #151 | Cent Arkansas | 0-0 | @ UT Arlington | W | UT Arlington (-2.22) | 58% | |||||||
| 1/13/2027 | #150 | Austin Peay | 0-0 | @ UT Arlington | W | UT Arlington (-2.87) | 61% | |||||||
| 1/16/2027 | UT Arlington | #246 | @ Abilene Chr | 0-0 | W | Abilene Chr (+1.19) | 55% | |||||||
| 1/20/2027 | UT Arlington | #284 | @ West Georgia | 0-0 | W | West Georgia (+3.72) | 64% | |||||||
| 1/23/2027 | UT Arlington | #344 | @ North Alabama | 0-0 | W | North Alabama (+7.08) | 75% | |||||||
| 1/27/2027 | #325 | Ark Little Rock | 0-0 | @ UT Arlington | W | UT Arlington (-10.90) | 84% | |||||||
| 1/30/2027 | #246 | Abilene Chr | 0-0 | @ UT Arlington | W | UT Arlington (-6.56) | 73% | |||||||
| 2/3/2027 | UT Arlington | #298 | @ E Kentucky | 0-0 | W | E Kentucky (+3.25) | 62% | |||||||
| 2/6/2027 | UT Arlington | #150 | @ Austin Peay | 0-0 | L | Austin Peay (-2.54) | 40% | |||||||
| 2/13/2027 | #236 | Tarleton St | 0-0 | @ UT Arlington | W | UT Arlington (-4.94) | 68% | |||||||
| 2/17/2027 | #284 | West Georgia | 0-0 | @ UT Arlington | W | UT Arlington (-9.56) | 81% | |||||||
| 2/20/2027 | #344 | North Alabama | 0-0 | @ UT Arlington | W | UT Arlington (-13.64) | 89% | |||||||
| 2/24/2027 | UT Arlington | #325 | @ Ark Little Rock | 0-0 | W | Ark Little Rock (+4.98) | 68% | |||||||
| 2/27/2027 | UT Arlington | #236 | @ Tarleton St | 0-0 | L | Tarleton St (-0.50) | 48% | |||||||
| 3/3/2027 | UT Arlington | #151 | @ Cent Arkansas | 0-0 | L | Cent Arkansas (-3.26) | 38% | |||||||
| 3/6/2027 | #298 | E Kentucky | 0-0 | @ UT Arlington | W | UT Arlington (-8.86) | 80% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 114-719.0% 213-818.6% 315-615.3% 412-914.5% 516-59.6% 611-109.1% Chance of winning all 21 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||