| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/6/2026 | Tarleton St | #240 | @ San Diego | 0-0 | L | San Diego (-3.16) | 38% | |||||||
| 12/5/2026 | Tarleton St | #107 | @ Pittsburgh | 0-0 | L | Pittsburgh (-12.14) | 13% | |||||||
| 12/19/2026 | Tarleton St | #248 | @ FGCU | 0-0 | L | FGCU (-1.93) | 43% | |||||||
| 12/21/2026 | Tarleton St | #311 | @ Stetson | 0-0 | W | Stetson (+2.36) | 59% | |||||||
| 12/28/2026 | #170 | West Florida | 0-0 | @ Tarleton St | W | Tarleton St (-0.06) | 50% | |||||||
| 1/2/2027 | #342 | North Florida | 0-0 | @ Tarleton St | W | Tarleton St (-10.25) | 83% | |||||||
| 1/6/2027 | #151 | Cent Arkansas | 0-0 | @ Tarleton St | W | Tarleton St (-0.02) | 50% | |||||||
| 1/9/2027 | #325 | Ark Little Rock | 0-0 | @ Tarleton St | W | Tarleton St (-7.77) | 77% | |||||||
| 1/13/2027 | Tarleton St | #298 | @ E Kentucky | 0-0 | W | E Kentucky (+1.08) | 54% | |||||||
| 1/16/2027 | Tarleton St | #150 | @ Austin Peay | 0-0 | L | Austin Peay (-4.51) | 33% | |||||||
| 1/23/2027 | Tarleton St | #325 | @ Ark Little Rock | 0-0 | W | Ark Little Rock (+2.74) | 60% | |||||||
| 1/27/2027 | #284 | West Georgia | 0-0 | @ Tarleton St | W | Tarleton St (-6.77) | 74% | |||||||
| 1/30/2027 | #150 | Austin Peay | 0-0 | @ Tarleton St | W | Tarleton St (-0.72) | 53% | |||||||
| 2/6/2027 | Tarleton St | #246 | @ Abilene Chr | 0-0 | L | Abilene Chr (-0.94) | 46% | |||||||
| 2/10/2027 | #344 | North Alabama | 0-0 | @ Tarleton St | W | Tarleton St (-10.84) | 84% | |||||||
| 2/13/2027 | Tarleton St | #160 | @ UT Arlington | 0-0 | L | UT Arlington (-4.94) | 32% | |||||||
| 2/17/2027 | Tarleton St | #151 | @ Cent Arkansas | 0-0 | L | Cent Arkansas (-5.42) | 30% | |||||||
| 2/20/2027 | #298 | E Kentucky | 0-0 | @ Tarleton St | W | Tarleton St (-6.21) | 72% | |||||||
| 2/24/2027 | #246 | Abilene Chr | 0-0 | @ Tarleton St | W | Tarleton St (-4.28) | 66% | |||||||
| 2/27/2027 | #160 | UT Arlington | 0-0 | @ Tarleton St | W | Tarleton St (-0.50) | 52% | |||||||
| 3/3/2027 | Tarleton St | #284 | @ West Georgia | 0-0 | W | West Georgia (+1.68) | 56% | |||||||
| 3/6/2027 | Tarleton St | #344 | @ North Alabama | 0-0 | W | North Alabama (+5.16) | 69% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 112-1018.1% 211-1116.4% 313-916.3% 410-1212.1% 514-812.0% 69-137.3% Chance of winning all 22 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||