| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/3/2026 | S Dakota St | #106 | @ Kansas St | 0-0 | L | Kansas St (-10.66) | 16% | |||||||
| 11/20/2026 | S Dakota St | #266 | @ Idaho St | 0-0 | L | Idaho St (-0.96) | 46% | |||||||
| 11/25/2026 | #246 | Abilene Chr | 0-0 | @ S Dakota St | W | S Dakota St (-5.53) | 70% | |||||||
| 11/29/2026 | S Dakota St | #141 | Fresno St | 0-0 | ✓ | L | Fresno St (-3.98) | 35% | ||||||
| 12/5/2026 | S Dakota St | #246 | @ Abilene Chr | 0-0 | L | Abilene Chr (-0.11) | 50% | |||||||
| 12/12/2026 | #183 | Idaho | 0-0 | @ S Dakota St | W | S Dakota St (-1.10) | 54% | |||||||
| 12/29/2026 | S Dakota St | #62 | @ Nevada | 0-0 | L | Nevada (-12.82) | 12% | |||||||
| 1/7/2027 | S Dakota St | #360 | @ Missouri KC | 0-0 | W | Missouri KC (+9.09) | 80% | |||||||
| 1/9/2027 | S Dakota St | #315 | @ Oral Roberts | 0-0 | W | Oral Roberts (+2.27) | 59% | |||||||
| 1/16/2027 | S Dakota St | #270 | @ South Dakota | 0-0 | W | South Dakota (+1.21) | 55% | |||||||
| 1/21/2027 | #114 | N Dakota St | 0-0 | @ S Dakota St | L | S Dakota St (+1.15) | 46% | |||||||
| 1/23/2027 | #251 | North Dakota | 0-0 | @ S Dakota St | W | S Dakota St (-6.33) | 73% | |||||||
| 1/28/2027 | S Dakota St | #122 | @ St Thomas MN | 0-0 | L | St Thomas MN (-7.66) | 24% | |||||||
| 1/31/2027 | S Dakota St | #255 | @ NE Omaha | 0-0 | W | NE Omaha (+0.18) | 51% | |||||||
| 2/4/2027 | #315 | Oral Roberts | 0-0 | @ S Dakota St | W | S Dakota St (-7.65) | 76% | |||||||
| 2/6/2027 | #360 | Missouri KC | 0-0 | @ S Dakota St | W | S Dakota St (-15.97) | 92% | |||||||
| 2/13/2027 | #270 | South Dakota | 0-0 | @ S Dakota St | W | S Dakota St (-6.46) | 73% | |||||||
| 2/18/2027 | S Dakota St | #251 | @ North Dakota | 0-0 | W | North Dakota (+1.37) | 55% | |||||||
| 2/20/2027 | S Dakota St | #114 | @ N Dakota St | 0-0 | L | N Dakota St (-6.83) | 26% | |||||||
| 2/25/2027 | #255 | NE Omaha | 0-0 | @ S Dakota St | W | S Dakota St (-5.47) | 70% | |||||||
| 2/27/2027 | #122 | St Thomas MN | 0-0 | @ S Dakota St | L | S Dakota St (+1.87) | 43% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 111-1019.1% 212-917.3% 310-1116.8% 413-812.5% 59-1211.8% 614-77.1% Chance of winning all 21 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||