| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/2/2026 | #192 | Massachusetts | 0-0 | @ Troy | W | Troy (-3.89) | 65% | |||||||
| 11/6/2026 | Troy | #70 | @ Florida St | 0-0 | L | Florida St (-11.65) | 14% | |||||||
| 11/10/2026 | #175 | Loy Marymount | 0-0 | @ Troy | W | Troy (-2.21) | 58% | |||||||
| 11/13/2026 | Troy | #39 | @ NC State | 0-0 | L | NC State (-16.96) | 7% | |||||||
| 11/17/2026 | #164 | CS Northridge | 0-0 | @ Troy | W | Troy (-3.82) | 64% | |||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Troy | #304 | @ Chattanooga | 0-0 | W | Chattanooga (+3.65) | 64% | |||||||
| 12/5/2026 | #117 | UAB | 0-0 | @ Troy | W | Troy (-0.31) | 51% | |||||||
| 12/16/2026 | #186 | Louisiana Tech | 0-0 | @ Troy | W | Troy (-3.86) | 64% | |||||||
| 12/19/2026 | #212 | Coastal Car | 0-0 | @ Troy | W | Troy (-6.89) | 74% | |||||||
| 12/31/2026 | Troy | #195 | @ Appalachian St | 0-0 | L | Appalachian St (-0.90) | 47% | |||||||
| 1/2/2027 | Troy | #205 | @ James Madison | 0-0 | L | James Madison (-0.13) | 49% | |||||||
| 1/6/2027 | #314 | Georgia St | 0-0 | @ Troy | W | Troy (-10.15) | 83% | |||||||
| 1/9/2027 | #222 | Ga Southern | 0-0 | @ Troy | W | Troy (-6.29) | 72% | |||||||
| 1/13/2027 | Troy | #210 | @ Southern Miss | 0-0 | W | Southern Miss (+0.29) | 51% | |||||||
| 1/16/2027 | #357 | ULM | 0-0 | @ Troy | W | Troy (-16.01) | 92% | |||||||
| 1/21/2027 | Troy | #186 | @ Louisiana Tech | 0-0 | L | Louisiana Tech (-1.44) | 44% | |||||||
| 1/23/2027 | Troy | #301 | @ Louisiana | 0-0 | W | Louisiana (+4.88) | 68% | |||||||
| 1/27/2027 | #187 | South Alabama | 0-0 | @ Troy | W | Troy (-5.05) | 69% | |||||||
| 1/30/2027 | #147 | Arkansas St | 0-0 | @ Troy | W | Troy (-2.43) | 59% | |||||||
| 2/3/2027 | Troy | #357 | @ ULM | 0-0 | W | ULM (+9.84) | 82% | |||||||
| 2/10/2027 | #301 | Louisiana | 0-0 | @ Troy | W | Troy (-11.03) | 85% | |||||||
| 2/13/2027 | Troy | #147 | @ Arkansas St | 0-0 | L | Arkansas St (-3.20) | 38% | |||||||
| 2/18/2027 | Troy | #187 | @ South Alabama | 0-0 | L | South Alabama (-0.43) | 48% | |||||||
| 2/20/2027 | #210 | Southern Miss | 0-0 | @ Troy | W | Troy (-5.73) | 71% | |||||||
| 2/26/2027 | Troy | #169 | @ Marshall | 0-0 | L | Marshall (-1.42) | 45% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 115-1017.4% 214-1116.7% 316-915.0% 413-1213.3% 517-810.6% 612-138.8% Chance of winning all 25 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||