| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/6/2026 | Southern Miss | #9 | @ Iowa St | 0-0 | L | Iowa St (-28.77) | 1% | |||||||
| 11/11/2026 | #327 | Jackson St | 0-0 | @ Southern Miss | W | Southern Miss (-12.73) | 88% | |||||||
| 11/13/2026 | Southern Miss | #223 | @ Texas St | 0-0 | L | Texas St (-1.50) | 44% | |||||||
| 12/2/2026 | #168 | Tulane | 0-0 | @ Southern Miss | W | Southern Miss (-1.42) | 55% | |||||||
| 12/5/2026 | Southern Miss | #136 | @ Oregon St | 0-0 | L | Oregon St (-6.45) | 27% | |||||||
| 12/19/2026 | #205 | James Madison | 0-0 | @ Southern Miss | W | Southern Miss (-2.12) | 58% | |||||||
| 12/31/2026 | Southern Miss | #314 | @ Georgia St | 0-0 | W | Georgia St (+1.69) | 56% | |||||||
| 1/2/2027 | Southern Miss | #222 | @ Ga Southern | 0-0 | L | Ga Southern (-1.69) | 44% | |||||||
| 1/7/2027 | #212 | Coastal Car | 0-0 | @ Southern Miss | W | Southern Miss (-3.87) | 64% | |||||||
| 1/9/2027 | #258 | Old Dominion | 0-0 | @ Southern Miss | W | Southern Miss (-3.69) | 64% | |||||||
| 1/13/2027 | #134 | Troy | 0-0 | @ Southern Miss | L | Southern Miss (+0.29) | 49% | |||||||
| 1/16/2027 | Southern Miss | #147 | @ Arkansas St | 0-0 | L | Arkansas St (-5.89) | 29% | |||||||
| 1/20/2027 | #357 | ULM | 0-0 | @ Southern Miss | W | Southern Miss (-12.35) | 87% | |||||||
| 1/23/2027 | Southern Miss | #187 | @ South Alabama | 0-0 | L | South Alabama (-3.21) | 38% | |||||||
| 1/28/2027 | Southern Miss | #186 | @ Louisiana Tech | 0-0 | L | Louisiana Tech (-4.45) | 34% | |||||||
| 1/30/2027 | #301 | Louisiana | 0-0 | @ Southern Miss | W | Southern Miss (-7.23) | 75% | |||||||
| 2/6/2027 | Southern Miss | #195 | @ Appalachian St | 0-0 | L | Appalachian St (-3.89) | 35% | |||||||
| 2/11/2027 | #186 | Louisiana Tech | 0-0 | @ Southern Miss | W | Southern Miss (-0.93) | 54% | |||||||
| 2/13/2027 | Southern Miss | #301 | @ Louisiana | 0-0 | W | Louisiana (+2.12) | 58% | |||||||
| 2/17/2027 | Southern Miss | #357 | @ ULM | 0-0 | W | ULM (+6.91) | 74% | |||||||
| 2/20/2027 | Southern Miss | #134 | @ Troy | 0-0 | L | Troy (-5.73) | 29% | |||||||
| 2/24/2027 | #147 | Arkansas St | 0-0 | @ Southern Miss | L | Southern Miss (+0.67) | 47% | |||||||
| 2/26/2027 | #187 | South Alabama | 0-0 | @ Southern Miss | W | Southern Miss (-1.96) | 57% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 112-1117.8% 211-1217.1% 313-1015.2% 410-1313.5% 514-910.6% 69-148.7% Chance of winning all 23 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||