| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/2/2026 | #139 | Toledo | 0-0 | @ Arkansas St | W | Arkansas St (-2.14) | 58% | |||||||
| 11/6/2026 | Arkansas St | #13 | @ Alabama | 0-0 | L | Alabama (-21.63) | 3% | |||||||
| 11/24/2026 | #263 | Long Beach St | 0-0 | Arkansas St | ✓ | W | Arkansas St (-5.57) | 70% | ||||||
| 11/29/2026 | #232 | Rice | 0-0 | @ Arkansas St | W | Arkansas St (-5.87) | 71% | |||||||
| 12/12/2026 | Arkansas St | #122 | @ St Thomas MN | 0-0 | L | St Thomas MN (-5.73) | 29% | |||||||
| 12/16/2026 | #187 | South Alabama | 0-0 | @ Arkansas St | W | Arkansas St (-5.23) | 69% | |||||||
| 12/19/2026 | #222 | Ga Southern | 0-0 | @ Arkansas St | W | Arkansas St (-6.68) | 74% | |||||||
| 12/31/2026 | Arkansas St | #205 | @ James Madison | 0-0 | W | James Madison (+0.23) | 51% | |||||||
| 1/2/2027 | Arkansas St | #169 | @ Marshall | 0-0 | L | Marshall (-0.98) | 46% | |||||||
| 1/7/2027 | #195 | Appalachian St | 0-0 | @ Arkansas St | W | Arkansas St (-4.75) | 68% | |||||||
| 1/9/2027 | #314 | Georgia St | 0-0 | @ Arkansas St | W | Arkansas St (-10.62) | 84% | |||||||
| 1/14/2027 | Arkansas St | #186 | @ Louisiana Tech | 0-0 | L | Louisiana Tech (-1.08) | 46% | |||||||
| 1/16/2027 | #210 | Southern Miss | 0-0 | @ Arkansas St | W | Arkansas St (-5.89) | 71% | |||||||
| 1/23/2027 | Arkansas St | #258 | @ Old Dominion | 0-0 | W | Old Dominion (+1.89) | 57% | |||||||
| 1/27/2027 | #301 | Louisiana | 0-0 | @ Arkansas St | W | Arkansas St (-11.52) | 85% | |||||||
| 1/30/2027 | Arkansas St | #134 | @ Troy | 0-0 | L | Troy (-2.43) | 41% | |||||||
| 2/3/2027 | Arkansas St | #187 | @ South Alabama | 0-0 | L | South Alabama (-0.05) | 50% | |||||||
| 2/10/2027 | #357 | ULM | 0-0 | @ Arkansas St | W | Arkansas St (-17.15) | 93% | |||||||
| 2/13/2027 | #134 | Troy | 0-0 | @ Arkansas St | W | Arkansas St (-3.20) | 62% | |||||||
| 2/17/2027 | Arkansas St | #301 | @ Louisiana | 0-0 | W | Louisiana (+5.42) | 70% | |||||||
| 2/20/2027 | Arkansas St | #357 | @ ULM | 0-0 | W | ULM (+10.22) | 83% | |||||||
| 2/24/2027 | Arkansas St | #210 | @ Southern Miss | 0-0 | W | Southern Miss (+0.67) | 53% | |||||||
| 2/26/2027 | #186 | Louisiana Tech | 0-0 | @ Arkansas St | W | Arkansas St (-4.42) | 66% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 114-918.4% 215-816.9% 313-1016.2% 416-712.5% 512-1111.7% 617-67.3% Chance of winning all 23 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||