| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/3/2026 | Alabama St | #41 | @ Texas A&M | 0-0 | L | Texas A&M (-26.35) | 2% | |||||||
| 11/15/2026 | Alabama St | #221 | @ San Jose St | 0-0 | L | San Jose St (-10.86) | 16% | |||||||
| 11/17/2026 | Alabama St | #163 | @ UC Davis | 0-0 | L | UC Davis (-12.10) | 13% | |||||||
| 11/20/2026 | Alabama St | #141 | @ Fresno St | 0-0 | L | Fresno St (-15.76) | 8% | |||||||
| 11/23/2026 | Alabama St | #61 | @ California | 0-0 | L | California (-22.01) | 3% | |||||||
| 12/7/2026 | Alabama St | #54 | @ Oklahoma | 0-0 | L | Oklahoma (-25.24) | 2% | |||||||
| 12/8/2026 | Alabama St | #37 | @ TCU | 0-0 | L | TCU (-27.81) | 1% | |||||||
| 12/13/2026 | Alabama St | #40 | @ Auburn | 0-0 | L | Auburn (-27.02) | 2% | |||||||
| 12/16/2026 | Alabama St | #170 | @ West Florida | 0-0 | L | West Florida (-12.80) | 12% | |||||||
| 12/18/2026 | Alabama St | #332 | @ Air Force | 0-0 | L | Air Force (-1.79) | 43% | |||||||
| 1/2/2027 | #365 | MS Valley St | 0-0 | @ Alabama St | W | Alabama St (-12.80) | 88% | |||||||
| 1/4/2027 | #309 | Ark Pine Bluff | 0-0 | @ Alabama St | W | Alabama St (-2.30) | 59% | |||||||
| 1/9/2027 | Alabama St | #327 | @ Jackson St | 0-0 | W | Jackson St (+1.13) | 54% | |||||||
| 1/11/2027 | Alabama St | #348 | @ Alcorn St | 0-0 | W | Alcorn St (+1.60) | 56% | |||||||
| 1/16/2027 | Alabama St | #290 | @ Alabama A&M | 0-0 | L | Alabama A&M (-3.17) | 38% | |||||||
| 1/23/2027 | #289 | Prairie View | 0-0 | @ Alabama St | W | Alabama St (-1.24) | 55% | |||||||
| 1/25/2027 | #312 | TX Southern | 0-0 | @ Alabama St | W | Alabama St (-2.03) | 58% | |||||||
| 1/30/2027 | Alabama St | #237 | @ Bethune-Cookman | 0-0 | L | Bethune-Cookman (-6.03) | 28% | |||||||
| 2/1/2027 | Alabama St | #294 | @ Florida A&M | 0-0 | L | Florida A&M (-2.71) | 40% | |||||||
| 2/6/2027 | #305 | Grambling | 0-0 | @ Alabama St | W | Alabama St (-0.83) | 53% | |||||||
| 2/8/2027 | #265 | Southern Univ | 0-0 | @ Alabama St | L | Alabama St (+0.06) | 50% | |||||||
| 2/13/2027 | Alabama St | #309 | @ Ark Pine Bluff | 0-0 | L | Ark Pine Bluff (-2.19) | 42% | |||||||
| 2/15/2027 | Alabama St | #365 | @ MS Valley St | 0-0 | W | MS Valley St (+7.92) | 77% | |||||||
| 2/18/2027 | #237 | Bethune-Cookman | 0-0 | @ Alabama St | L | Alabama St (+1.21) | 45% | |||||||
| 2/27/2027 | #290 | Alabama A&M | 0-0 | @ Alabama St | W | Alabama St (-1.36) | 55% | |||||||
| 3/2/2027 | Alabama St | #265 | @ Southern Univ | 0-0 | L | Southern Univ (-4.82) | 32% | |||||||
| 3/4/2027 | Alabama St | #305 | @ Grambling | 0-0 | L | Grambling (-3.88) | 35% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 110-1718.1% 29-1817.6% 311-1615.1% 48-1913.8% 512-1510.3% 67-208.7% Chance of winning all 27 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||