| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/2/2026 | Incarnate Word | #58 | @ Oklahoma St | 0-0 | L | Oklahoma St (-17.07) | 7% | |||||||
| 11/5/2026 | #349 | Chicago St | 0-0 | @ Incarnate Word | W | Incarnate Word (-8.78) | 79% | |||||||
| 11/11/2026 | Incarnate Word | #163 | @ UC Davis | 0-0 | L | UC Davis (-6.73) | 26% | |||||||
| 11/18/2026 | Incarnate Word | #223 | @ Texas St | 0-0 | L | Texas St (-2.75) | 40% | |||||||
| 11/29/2026 | Incarnate Word | #71 | @ Grand Canyon | 0-0 | L | Grand Canyon (-16.93) | 7% | |||||||
| 12/5/2026 | Incarnate Word | #310 | @ SE Louisiana | 0-0 | L | SE Louisiana (-0.93) | 46% | |||||||
| 12/7/2026 | Incarnate Word | #72 | @ McNeese St | 0-0 | L | McNeese St (-14.50) | 10% | |||||||
| 12/15/2026 | Incarnate Word | #19 | @ Texas Tech | 0-0 | L | Texas Tech (-25.37) | 2% | |||||||
| 12/19/2026 | #250 | Nicholls St | 0-0 | @ Incarnate Word | W | Incarnate Word (-2.21) | 58% | |||||||
| 12/21/2026 | #218 | New Orleans | 0-0 | @ Incarnate Word | W | Incarnate Word (-0.23) | 51% | |||||||
| 12/28/2026 | Incarnate Word | #2 | @ Arizona | 0-0 | L | Arizona (-33.11) | 1% | |||||||
| 1/2/2027 | Incarnate Word | #300 | @ Houston Chr | 0-0 | L | Houston Chr (-0.64) | 48% | |||||||
| 1/4/2027 | #152 | UTRGV | 0-0 | @ Incarnate Word | L | Incarnate Word (+3.19) | 38% | |||||||
| 1/9/2027 | #275 | Lamar | 0-0 | @ Incarnate Word | W | Incarnate Word (-1.46) | 56% | |||||||
| 1/11/2027 | #90 | SF Austin | 0-0 | @ Incarnate Word | L | Incarnate Word (+5.09) | 31% | |||||||
| 1/16/2027 | Incarnate Word | #303 | @ Northwestern LA | 0-0 | L | Northwestern LA (-1.03) | 46% | |||||||
| 1/18/2027 | Incarnate Word | #306 | @ East Texas A&M | 0-0 | W | East Texas A&M (+0.18) | 51% | |||||||
| 1/23/2027 | Incarnate Word | #204 | @ TAM C. Christi | 0-0 | L | TAM C. Christi (-5.84) | 29% | |||||||
| 1/26/2027 | Incarnate Word | #152 | @ UTRGV | 0-0 | L | UTRGV (-9.16) | 20% | |||||||
| 1/30/2027 | #204 | TAM C. Christi | 0-0 | @ Incarnate Word | L | Incarnate Word (+0.77) | 47% | |||||||
| 2/1/2027 | #300 | Houston Chr | 0-0 | @ Incarnate Word | W | Incarnate Word (-4.35) | 66% | |||||||
| 2/6/2027 | #72 | McNeese St | 0-0 | @ Incarnate Word | L | Incarnate Word (+7.86) | 23% | |||||||
| 2/8/2027 | #310 | SE Louisiana | 0-0 | @ Incarnate Word | W | Incarnate Word (-4.06) | 65% | |||||||
| 2/13/2027 | Incarnate Word | #250 | @ Nicholls St | 0-0 | L | Nicholls St (-2.84) | 39% | |||||||
| 2/15/2027 | Incarnate Word | #218 | @ New Orleans | 0-0 | L | New Orleans (-5.00) | 32% | |||||||
| 2/20/2027 | #306 | East Texas A&M | 0-0 | @ Incarnate Word | W | Incarnate Word (-5.15) | 69% | |||||||
| 2/22/2027 | #303 | Northwestern LA | 0-0 | @ Incarnate Word | W | Incarnate Word (-3.96) | 65% | |||||||
| 2/27/2027 | Incarnate Word | #275 | @ Lamar | 0-0 | L | Lamar (-3.66) | 36% | |||||||
| 3/1/2027 | Incarnate Word | #90 | @ SF Austin | 0-0 | L | SF Austin (-11.72) | 14% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 111-1816.9% 210-1915.6% 312-1715.3% 49-2012.0% 513-1611.7% 68-217.7% Chance of winning all 29 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||