| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/2/2026 | Citadel | #253 | @ Loyola-Chicago | 0-0 | L | Loyola-Chicago (-9.67) | 18% | |||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Citadel | #342 | @ North Florida | 0-0 | L | North Florida (-3.27) | 38% | |||||||
| 11/16/2026 | Citadel | #36 | @ Clemson | 0-0 | L | Clemson (-28.60) | 1% | |||||||
| 11/25/2026 | #297 | SC Upstate | 0-0 | @ Citadel | L | Citadel (+1.70) | 44% | |||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Citadel | #78 | @ High Point | 0-0 | L | High Point (-21.93) | 3% | |||||||
| 12/1/2026 | Citadel | #268 | @ Charleston So | 0-0 | L | Charleston So (-9.90) | 18% | |||||||
| 12/5/2026 | Citadel | #239 | @ W Carolina | 0-0 | L | W Carolina (-10.04) | 18% | |||||||
| 12/9/2026 | Citadel | #166 | @ Georgia Tech | 0-0 | L | Georgia Tech (-16.70) | 7% | |||||||
| 12/19/2026 | #322 | Tennessee Tech | 0-0 | @ Citadel | L | Citadel (+0.18) | 49% | |||||||
| 12/21/2026 | Citadel | #25 | @ North Carolina | 0-0 | L | North Carolina (-30.53) | 1% | |||||||
| 12/30/2026 | Citadel | #292 | @ UNC Greensboro | 0-0 | L | UNC Greensboro (-5.82) | 29% | |||||||
| 1/2/2027 | #304 | Chattanooga | 0-0 | @ Citadel | L | Citadel (+1.74) | 43% | |||||||
| 1/6/2027 | #235 | Wofford | 0-0 | @ Citadel | L | Citadel (+4.06) | 35% | |||||||
| 1/9/2027 | Citadel | #215 | @ Samford | 0-0 | L | Samford (-11.02) | 16% | |||||||
| 1/13/2027 | #184 | Furman | 0-0 | @ Citadel | L | Citadel (+7.05) | 25% | |||||||
| 1/16/2027 | Citadel | #361 | @ VMI | 0-0 | W | VMI (+0.92) | 54% | |||||||
| 1/18/2027 | #156 | ETSU | 0-0 | @ Citadel | L | Citadel (+8.36) | 22% | |||||||
| 1/21/2027 | Citadel | #235 | @ Wofford | 0-0 | L | Wofford (-9.13) | 20% | |||||||
| 1/23/2027 | #215 | Samford | 0-0 | @ Citadel | L | Citadel (+5.51) | 30% | |||||||
| 1/27/2027 | Citadel | #184 | @ Furman | 0-0 | L | Furman (-13.55) | 11% | |||||||
| 1/30/2027 | Citadel | #197 | @ Mercer | 0-0 | L | Mercer (-13.43) | 11% | |||||||
| 2/3/2027 | #292 | UNC Greensboro | 0-0 | @ Citadel | L | Citadel (+1.44) | 44% | |||||||
| 2/6/2027 | Citadel | #322 | @ Tennessee Tech | 0-0 | L | Tennessee Tech (-4.72) | 33% | |||||||
| 2/10/2027 | #239 | W Carolina | 0-0 | @ Citadel | L | Citadel (+4.92) | 32% | |||||||
| 2/13/2027 | Citadel | #304 | @ Chattanooga | 0-0 | L | Chattanooga (-6.43) | 27% | |||||||
| 2/20/2027 | #361 | VMI | 0-0 | @ Citadel | W | Citadel (-5.18) | 69% | |||||||
| 2/24/2027 | Citadel | #156 | @ ETSU | 0-0 | L | ETSU (-15.31) | 9% | |||||||
| 2/27/2027 | #197 | Mercer | 0-0 | @ Citadel | L | Citadel (+7.21) | 25% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 17-2118.4% 28-2017.0% 36-2216.0% 49-1913.0% 55-2311.1% 610-188.2% Chance of winning all 28 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||