| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/2/2026 | #118 | Murray St | 0-0 | Tennessee St | ✓ | L | Tennessee St (+4.67) | 33% | ||||||
| 11/13/2026 | Tennessee St | #20 | @ Tennessee | 0-0 | L | Tennessee (-23.53) | 3% | |||||||
| 11/17/2026 | Tennessee St | #44 | @ South Florida | 0-0 | L | South Florida (-16.61) | 7% | |||||||
| 11/29/2026 | Tennessee St | #58 | @ Oklahoma St | 0-0 | L | Oklahoma St (-14.45) | 10% | |||||||
| 12/4/2026 | #305 | Grambling | 0-0 | Tennessee St | ✓ | W | Tennessee St (-5.06) | 69% | ||||||
| 12/5/2026 | #294 | Florida A&M | 0-0 | Tennessee St | ✓ | W | Tennessee St (-4.13) | 65% | ||||||
| 12/11/2026 | Tennessee St | #364 | @ W Illinois | 0-0 | W | W Illinois (+10.98) | 84% | |||||||
| 12/19/2026 | #290 | Alabama A&M | 0-0 | @ Tennessee St | W | Tennessee St (-8.81) | 80% | |||||||
| 12/31/2026 | Tennessee St | #356 | @ Southern Indiana | 0-0 | W | Southern Indiana (+5.80) | 71% | |||||||
| 1/2/2027 | Tennessee St | #321 | @ E Illinois | 0-0 | W | E Illinois (+3.78) | 64% | |||||||
| 1/7/2027 | #364 | W Illinois | 0-0 | @ Tennessee St | W | Tennessee St (-17.49) | 94% | |||||||
| 1/9/2027 | #257 | SIUE | 0-0 | @ Tennessee St | W | Tennessee St (-5.28) | 69% | |||||||
| 1/16/2027 | #252 | Morehead St | 0-0 | @ Tennessee St | W | Tennessee St (-7.02) | 75% | |||||||
| 1/21/2027 | Tennessee St | #262 | @ Lindenwood | 0-0 | W | Lindenwood (+0.64) | 52% | |||||||
| 1/23/2027 | Tennessee St | #231 | @ SE Missouri St | 0-0 | L | SE Missouri St (-0.87) | 47% | |||||||
| 1/28/2027 | #356 | Southern Indiana | 0-0 | @ Tennessee St | W | Tennessee St (-11.90) | 86% | |||||||
| 1/30/2027 | #214 | TN Martin | 0-0 | @ Tennessee St | W | Tennessee St (-3.76) | 64% | |||||||
| 2/4/2027 | #262 | Lindenwood | 0-0 | @ Tennessee St | W | Tennessee St (-5.84) | 71% | |||||||
| 2/6/2027 | Tennessee St | #252 | @ Morehead St | 0-0 | W | Morehead St (+2.10) | 58% | |||||||
| 2/11/2027 | #321 | E Illinois | 0-0 | @ Tennessee St | W | Tennessee St (-9.44) | 81% | |||||||
| 2/17/2027 | Tennessee St | #257 | @ SIUE | 0-0 | W | SIUE (+0.29) | 51% | |||||||
| 2/25/2027 | Tennessee St | #214 | @ TN Martin | 0-0 | L | TN Martin (-1.56) | 44% | |||||||
| 2/27/2027 | #231 | SE Missouri St | 0-0 | @ Tennessee St | W | Tennessee St (-4.37) | 66% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 114-918.8% 213-1018.6% 315-815.0% 412-1114.8% 511-129.4% 616-79.3% Chance of winning all 23 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||