| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/2/2026 | Morehead St | #144 | @ WKU | 0-0 | L | WKU (-11.07) | 15% | |||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Morehead St | #21 | @ Louisville | 0-0 | L | Louisville (-29.12) | 1% | |||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #334 | IUPUI | 0-0 | @ Morehead St | W | Morehead St (-3.62) | 64% | |||||||
| 11/18/2026 | Morehead St | #216 | @ Ohio | 0-0 | L | Ohio (-6.66) | 26% | |||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Morehead St | #243 | @ Elon | 0-0 | L | Elon (-6.03) | 28% | |||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Morehead St | #268 | Charleston So | 0-0 | ✓ | L | Charleston So (-0.73) | 47% | ||||||
| 11/29/2026 | Morehead St | #156 | @ ETSU | 0-0 | L | ETSU (-12.31) | 13% | |||||||
| 12/2/2026 | #282 | Bellarmine | 0-0 | @ Morehead St | W | Morehead St (-1.49) | 56% | |||||||
| 12/5/2026 | #273 | Presbyterian | 0-0 | @ Morehead St | W | Morehead St (-0.91) | 53% | |||||||
| 12/15/2026 | #344 | North Alabama | 0-0 | @ Morehead St | W | Morehead St (-5.96) | 71% | |||||||
| 12/16/2026 | Morehead St | #20 | @ Tennessee | 0-0 | L | Tennessee (-30.94) | 1% | |||||||
| 12/19/2026 | #247 | UNC Asheville | 0-0 | @ Morehead St | L | Morehead St (+0.46) | 48% | |||||||
| 12/30/2026 | Morehead St | #214 | @ TN Martin | 0-0 | L | TN Martin (-5.85) | 29% | |||||||
| 1/7/2027 | #321 | E Illinois | 0-0 | @ Morehead St | W | Morehead St (-3.96) | 65% | |||||||
| 1/9/2027 | #262 | Lindenwood | 0-0 | @ Morehead St | W | Morehead St (-0.99) | 54% | |||||||
| 1/13/2027 | #356 | Southern Indiana | 0-0 | @ Morehead St | W | Morehead St (-5.87) | 71% | |||||||
| 1/16/2027 | Morehead St | #185 | @ Tennessee St | 0-0 | L | Tennessee St (-7.02) | 25% | |||||||
| 1/21/2027 | #364 | W Illinois | 0-0 | @ Morehead St | W | Morehead St (-11.82) | 86% | |||||||
| 1/23/2027 | #257 | SIUE | 0-0 | @ Morehead St | W | Morehead St (-0.67) | 53% | |||||||
| 1/28/2027 | Morehead St | #262 | @ Lindenwood | 0-0 | L | Lindenwood (-3.90) | 35% | |||||||
| 1/30/2027 | Morehead St | #356 | @ Southern Indiana | 0-0 | W | Southern Indiana (+1.46) | 56% | |||||||
| 2/4/2027 | #231 | SE Missouri St | 0-0 | @ Morehead St | L | Morehead St (+0.42) | 48% | |||||||
| 2/6/2027 | #185 | Tennessee St | 0-0 | @ Morehead St | L | Morehead St (+2.10) | 42% | |||||||
| 2/11/2027 | Morehead St | #257 | @ SIUE | 0-0 | L | SIUE (-4.25) | 34% | |||||||
| 2/13/2027 | Morehead St | #364 | @ W Illinois | 0-0 | W | W Illinois (+6.83) | 74% | |||||||
| 2/20/2027 | #214 | TN Martin | 0-0 | @ Morehead St | L | Morehead St (+1.03) | 46% | |||||||
| 2/25/2027 | Morehead St | #231 | @ SE Missouri St | 0-0 | L | SE Missouri St (-5.46) | 30% | |||||||
| 2/27/2027 | Morehead St | #321 | @ E Illinois | 0-0 | L | E Illinois (-0.64) | 48% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 112-1616.6% 213-1515.8% 311-1714.8% 414-1412.6% 510-1811.0% 615-138.4% Chance of winning all 28 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||