| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/2/2026 | Murray St | #185 | Tennessee St | 0-0 | ✓ | W | Tennessee St (+4.67) | 67% | ||||||
| 11/19/2026 | #39 | NC State | 0-0 | Murray St | ✓ | L | Murray St (+8.79) | 21% | ||||||
| 11/30/2026 | #159 | Washington St | 0-0 | @ Murray St | W | Murray St (-3.58) | 63% | |||||||
| 12/2/2026 | #349 | Chicago St | 0-0 | @ Murray St | W | Murray St (-17.59) | 94% | |||||||
| 12/6/2026 | Murray St | #166 | Georgia Tech | 0-0 | ✓ | W | Georgia Tech (+1.07) | 54% | ||||||
| 12/12/2026 | #35 | Santa Clara | 0-0 | @ Murray St | L | Murray St (+4.72) | 33% | |||||||
| 12/17/2026 | #104 | Illinois St | 0-0 | @ Murray St | W | Murray St (-1.17) | 54% | |||||||
| 12/19/2026 | Murray St | #244 | @ Indiana St | 0-0 | W | Indiana St (+1.52) | 56% | |||||||
| 12/29/2026 | #128 | IL Chicago | 0-0 | @ Murray St | W | Murray St (-2.45) | 59% | |||||||
| 1/1/2027 | #211 | Drake | 0-0 | @ Murray St | W | Murray St (-5.98) | 71% | |||||||
| 1/4/2027 | Murray St | #113 | @ Bradley | 0-0 | L | Bradley (-2.98) | 39% | |||||||
| 1/9/2027 | #299 | Evansville | 0-0 | @ Murray St | W | Murray St (-12.20) | 87% | |||||||
| 1/12/2027 | Murray St | #146 | @ S Illinois | 0-0 | L | S Illinois (-2.53) | 40% | |||||||
| 1/16/2027 | #244 | Indiana St | 0-0 | @ Murray St | W | Murray St (-7.00) | 75% | |||||||
| 1/21/2027 | Murray St | #88 | @ Northern Iowa | 0-0 | L | Northern Iowa (-6.11) | 28% | |||||||
| 1/24/2027 | Murray St | #211 | @ Drake | 0-0 | W | Drake (+0.48) | 52% | |||||||
| 1/27/2027 | #113 | Bradley | 0-0 | @ Murray St | W | Murray St (-2.82) | 61% | |||||||
| 1/30/2027 | #161 | Valparaiso | 0-0 | @ Murray St | W | Murray St (-5.37) | 70% | |||||||
| 2/3/2027 | Murray St | #128 | @ IL Chicago | 0-0 | L | IL Chicago (-3.39) | 37% | |||||||
| 2/6/2027 | #64 | Belmont | 0-0 | @ Murray St | L | Murray St (+0.80) | 47% | |||||||
| 2/9/2027 | Murray St | #299 | @ Evansville | 0-0 | W | Evansville (+6.17) | 72% | |||||||
| 2/12/2027 | Murray St | #104 | @ Illinois St | 0-0 | L | Illinois St (-4.80) | 32% | |||||||
| 2/15/2027 | #146 | S Illinois | 0-0 | @ Murray St | W | Murray St (-3.27) | 62% | |||||||
| 2/20/2027 | Murray St | #64 | @ Belmont | 0-0 | L | Belmont (-6.94) | 26% | |||||||
| 2/24/2027 | #88 | Northern Iowa | 0-0 | @ Murray St | L | Murray St (+0.25) | 49% | |||||||
| 2/27/2027 | Murray St | #161 | @ Valparaiso | 0-0 | L | Valparaiso (-0.41) | 48% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 114-1216.7% 213-1315.4% 315-1115.3% 412-1411.9% 516-1011.8% 611-157.7% Chance of winning all 26 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||