| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/2/2026 | Illinois St | #26 | @ St Mary's CA | 0-0 | L | St Mary's CA (-11.49) | 15% | |||||||
| 11/17/2026 | #282 | Bellarmine | 0-0 | @ Illinois St | W | Illinois St (-14.15) | 90% | |||||||
| 11/23/2026 | Illinois St | #35 | Santa Clara | 0-0 | ✓ | L | Santa Clara (-6.19) | 28% | ||||||
| 11/24/2026 | #52 | Tulsa | 0-0 | Illinois St | ✓ | L | Illinois St (+3.40) | 37% | ||||||
| 12/5/2026 | Illinois St | #349 | @ Chicago St | 0-0 | W | Chicago St (+11.68) | 86% | |||||||
| 12/10/2026 | #263 | Long Beach St | 0-0 | @ Illinois St | W | Illinois St (-11.69) | 86% | |||||||
| 12/17/2026 | Illinois St | #118 | @ Murray St | 0-0 | L | Murray St (-1.17) | 46% | |||||||
| 12/21/2026 | #64 | Belmont | 0-0 | @ Illinois St | W | Illinois St (-0.99) | 54% | |||||||
| 12/29/2026 | Illinois St | #299 | @ Evansville | 0-0 | W | Evansville (+7.63) | 76% | |||||||
| 1/2/2027 | #244 | Indiana St | 0-0 | @ Illinois St | W | Illinois St (-9.16) | 80% | |||||||
| 1/8/2027 | Illinois St | #64 | @ Belmont | 0-0 | L | Belmont (-5.00) | 32% | |||||||
| 1/12/2027 | Illinois St | #88 | @ Northern Iowa | 0-0 | L | Northern Iowa (-4.43) | 34% | |||||||
| 1/16/2027 | #161 | Valparaiso | 0-0 | @ Illinois St | W | Illinois St (-6.93) | 74% | |||||||
| 1/18/2027 | #211 | Drake | 0-0 | @ Illinois St | W | Illinois St (-7.94) | 77% | |||||||
| 1/24/2027 | Illinois St | #113 | @ Bradley | 0-0 | L | Bradley (-1.37) | 45% | |||||||
| 1/27/2027 | #146 | S Illinois | 0-0 | @ Illinois St | W | Illinois St (-5.11) | 69% | |||||||
| 1/30/2027 | Illinois St | #128 | @ IL Chicago | 0-0 | L | IL Chicago (-1.65) | 44% | |||||||
| 2/3/2027 | #88 | Northern Iowa | 0-0 | @ Illinois St | W | Illinois St (-1.59) | 56% | |||||||
| 2/6/2027 | Illinois St | #244 | @ Indiana St | 0-0 | W | Indiana St (+3.30) | 62% | |||||||
| 2/9/2027 | Illinois St | #161 | @ Valparaiso | 0-0 | W | Valparaiso (+1.32) | 55% | |||||||
| 2/12/2027 | #118 | Murray St | 0-0 | @ Illinois St | W | Illinois St (-4.80) | 68% | |||||||
| 2/15/2027 | #128 | IL Chicago | 0-0 | @ Illinois St | W | Illinois St (-4.39) | 66% | |||||||
| 2/18/2027 | Illinois St | #146 | @ S Illinois | 0-0 | L | S Illinois (-0.90) | 47% | |||||||
| 2/21/2027 | #299 | Evansville | 0-0 | @ Illinois St | W | Illinois St (-14.94) | 91% | |||||||
| 2/24/2027 | Illinois St | #211 | @ Drake | 0-0 | W | Drake (+2.22) | 58% | |||||||
| 2/27/2027 | #113 | Bradley | 0-0 | @ Illinois St | W | Illinois St (-4.66) | 67% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 115-1117.0% 216-1016.9% 314-1214.2% 417-914.0% 513-139.8% 618-89.5% Chance of winning all 26 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||