| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/2026 | Morgan St | #201 | @ UMBC | 0-0 | L | UMBC (-14.32) | 10% | |||||||
| 11/18/2026 | Morgan St | #295 | @ NC A&T | 0-0 | L | NC A&T (-9.05) | 20% | |||||||
| 11/24/2026 | #264 | Mt St Mary's | 0-0 | @ Morgan St | L | Morgan St (+3.56) | 37% | |||||||
| 12/5/2026 | #288 | Mercyhurst | 0-0 | @ Morgan St | L | Morgan St (+3.68) | 36% | |||||||
| 12/8/2026 | Morgan St | #81 | @ George Mason | 0-0 | L | George Mason (-22.24) | 3% | |||||||
| 12/15/2026 | Morgan St | #119 | @ Maryland | 0-0 | L | Maryland (-20.49) | 4% | |||||||
| 12/19/2026 | Morgan St | #278 | @ Longwood | 0-0 | L | Longwood (-10.55) | 16% | |||||||
| 12/22/2026 | Morgan St | #38 | @ VCU | 0-0 | L | VCU (-28.13) | 1% | |||||||
| 12/29/2026 | Morgan St | #40 | @ Auburn | 0-0 | L | Auburn (-30.87) | 1% | |||||||
| 1/2/2027 | #351 | MD E Shore | 0-0 | @ Morgan St | W | Morgan St (-0.87) | 53% | |||||||
| 1/9/2027 | Morgan St | #354 | @ S Carolina St | 0-0 | L | S Carolina St (-0.44) | 48% | |||||||
| 1/25/2027 | #320 | Norfolk St | 0-0 | @ Morgan St | L | Morgan St (+1.72) | 43% | |||||||
| 1/30/2027 | #358 | Coppin St | 0-0 | @ Morgan St | W | Morgan St (-5.84) | 71% | |||||||
| 2/6/2027 | Morgan St | #351 | @ MD E Shore | 0-0 | L | MD E Shore (-3.39) | 37% | |||||||
| 2/13/2027 | #354 | S Carolina St | 0-0 | @ Morgan St | W | Morgan St (-3.68) | 64% | |||||||
| 3/1/2027 | Morgan St | #320 | @ Norfolk St | 0-0 | L | Norfolk St (-6.21) | 28% | |||||||
| 3/4/2027 | Morgan St | #358 | @ Coppin St | 0-0 | W | Coppin St (+1.78) | 57% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 15-1223.3% 26-1121.3% 34-1318.1% 47-1013.9% 53-149.7% 68-96.6% Chance of winning all 17 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||