| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/2/2026 | Toledo | #147 | @ Arkansas St | 0-0 | L | Arkansas St (-2.14) | 42% | |||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Toledo | #169 | @ Marshall | 0-0 | L | Marshall (-0.41) | 48% | |||||||
| 12/2/2026 | Toledo | #216 | @ Ohio | 0-0 | W | Ohio (+1.19) | 55% | |||||||
| 12/5/2026 | #115 | Kent | 0-0 | @ Toledo | W | Toledo (-3.42) | 63% | |||||||
| 12/9/2026 | #260 | E Michigan | 0-0 | @ Toledo | W | Toledo (-7.25) | 75% | |||||||
| 12/12/2026 | Toledo | #279 | @ W Michigan | 0-0 | W | W Michigan (+3.67) | 64% | |||||||
| 1/2/2027 | Toledo | #287 | @ C Michigan | 0-0 | W | C Michigan (+3.72) | 64% | |||||||
| 1/5/2027 | #60 | Miami OH | 0-0 | @ Toledo | L | Toledo (+0.52) | 48% | |||||||
| 1/9/2027 | #208 | Buffalo | 0-0 | @ Toledo | W | Toledo (-5.69) | 71% | |||||||
| 1/12/2027 | Toledo | #192 | @ Massachusetts | 0-0 | L | Massachusetts (-0.49) | 48% | |||||||
| 1/16/2027 | #59 | Akron | 0-0 | @ Toledo | L | Toledo (+2.51) | 40% | |||||||
| 1/19/2027 | Toledo | #291 | @ Ball St | 0-0 | W | Ball St (+4.47) | 67% | |||||||
| 1/23/2027 | Toledo | #208 | @ Buffalo | 0-0 | W | Buffalo (+0.35) | 51% | |||||||
| 1/26/2027 | #287 | C Michigan | 0-0 | @ Toledo | W | Toledo (-9.77) | 82% | |||||||
| 1/30/2027 | Toledo | #172 | @ Bowling Green | 0-0 | L | Bowling Green (-2.43) | 41% | |||||||
| 2/2/2027 | Toledo | #260 | @ E Michigan | 0-0 | W | E Michigan (+1.95) | 57% | |||||||
| 2/9/2027 | #291 | Ball St | 0-0 | @ Toledo | W | Toledo (-10.69) | 84% | |||||||
| 2/13/2027 | #279 | W Michigan | 0-0 | @ Toledo | W | Toledo (-9.71) | 82% | |||||||
| 2/16/2027 | Toledo | #60 | @ Miami OH | 0-0 | L | Miami OH (-6.48) | 27% | |||||||
| 2/20/2027 | #172 | Bowling Green | 0-0 | @ Toledo | W | Toledo (-3.30) | 62% | |||||||
| 2/23/2027 | Toledo | #59 | @ Akron | 0-0 | L | Akron (-8.97) | 20% | |||||||
| 2/27/2027 | Toledo | #115 | @ Kent | 0-0 | L | Kent (-2.14) | 42% | |||||||
| 3/2/2027 | #192 | Massachusetts | 0-0 | @ Toledo | W | Toledo (-5.10) | 69% | |||||||
| 3/5/2027 | #216 | Ohio | 0-0 | @ Toledo | W | Toledo (-6.76) | 74% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 114-1017.3% 213-1116.3% 315-915.2% 412-1212.8% 516-811.0% 611-138.4% Chance of winning all 24 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||