| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/2/2026 | #268 | Charleston So | 0-0 | @ South Florida | W | South Florida (-18.64) | 95% | |||||||
| 11/5/2026 | South Florida | #99 | @ DePaul | 0-0 | W | DePaul (+1.15) | 54% | |||||||
| 11/11/2026 | #105 | St Joseph's PA | 0-0 | South Florida | ✓ | W | South Florida (-7.09) | 75% | ||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #358 | Coppin St | 0-0 | @ South Florida | W | South Florida (-32.92) | 99% | |||||||
| 11/17/2026 | #185 | Tennessee St | 0-0 | @ South Florida | W | South Florida (-16.61) | 93% | |||||||
| 11/21/2026 | South Florida | #81 | @ George Mason | 0-0 | W | George Mason (+1.59) | 56% | |||||||
| 11/24/2026 | #311 | Stetson | 0-0 | @ South Florida | W | South Florida (-23.42) | 97% | |||||||
| 11/29/2026 | South Florida | #29 | St Louis | 0-0 | ✓ | L | St Louis (-2.65) | 40% | ||||||
| 12/2/2026 | #170 | West Florida | 0-0 | @ South Florida | W | South Florida (-13.89) | 89% | |||||||
| 12/9/2026 | #296 | Jacksonville | 0-0 | @ South Florida | W | South Florida (-21.86) | 97% | |||||||
| 12/12/2026 | South Florida | #67 | @ Dayton | 0-0 | L | Dayton (-0.09) | 50% | |||||||
| 12/16/2026 | #13 | Alabama | 0-0 | @ South Florida | L | South Florida (+2.56) | 40% | |||||||
| 12/19/2026 | #138 | Kennesaw | 0-0 | @ South Florida | W | South Florida (-12.87) | 88% | |||||||
| 12/22/2026 | South Florida | #132 | @ Col Charleston | 0-0 | W | Col Charleston (+6.54) | 73% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 111-326.6% 210-425.8% 312-216.8% 49-515.9% 58-66.3% 613-15.8% Chance of winning all 14 remaining games: 0.9% | ||||||||||||||