| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/1/2026 | #78 | High Point | 0-0 | Liberty | ✓ | L | Liberty (+3.47) | 37% | ||||||
| 11/17/2026 | Liberty | #146 | S Illinois | 0-0 | ✓ | L | S Illinois (-0.20) | 49% | ||||||
| 11/20/2026 | Liberty | #145 | Rhode Island | 0-0 | ✓ | W | Rhode Island (+0.25) | 51% | ||||||
| 11/22/2026 | #173 | Richmond | 0-0 | Liberty | ✓ | W | Liberty (-0.53) | 52% | ||||||
| 11/27/2026 | Liberty | #122 | St Thomas MN | 0-0 | ✓ | L | St Thomas MN (-0.73) | 47% | ||||||
| 12/19/2026 | #67 | Dayton | 0-0 | @ Liberty | L | Liberty (+0.79) | 47% | |||||||
| 1/2/2027 | #281 | Delaware | 0-0 | @ Liberty | W | Liberty (-11.08) | 85% | |||||||
| 1/7/2027 | Liberty | #207 | @ Florida Intl | 0-0 | W | Florida Intl (+0.16) | 51% | |||||||
| 1/9/2027 | Liberty | #209 | @ Missouri St | 0-0 | W | Missouri St (+0.68) | 53% | |||||||
| 1/14/2027 | #149 | MTSU | 0-0 | @ Liberty | W | Liberty (-4.29) | 66% | |||||||
| 1/16/2027 | #144 | WKU | 0-0 | @ Liberty | W | Liberty (-4.10) | 65% | |||||||
| 1/21/2027 | Liberty | #227 | @ Jacksonville St | 0-0 | W | Jacksonville St (+1.27) | 55% | |||||||
| 1/23/2027 | Liberty | #138 | @ Kennesaw | 0-0 | L | Kennesaw (-1.59) | 44% | |||||||
| 1/28/2027 | #108 | Sam Houston St | 0-0 | @ Liberty | W | Liberty (-2.09) | 58% | |||||||
| 1/30/2027 | #194 | New Mexico St | 0-0 | @ Liberty | W | Liberty (-5.45) | 70% | |||||||
| 2/4/2027 | #209 | Missouri St | 0-0 | @ Liberty | W | Liberty (-6.36) | 73% | |||||||
| 2/6/2027 | #207 | Florida Intl | 0-0 | @ Liberty | W | Liberty (-5.86) | 71% | |||||||
| 2/11/2027 | Liberty | #144 | @ WKU | 0-0 | L | WKU (-1.52) | 44% | |||||||
| 2/13/2027 | Liberty | #149 | @ MTSU | 0-0 | L | MTSU (-1.31) | 45% | |||||||
| 2/18/2027 | #138 | Kennesaw | 0-0 | @ Liberty | W | Liberty (-4.14) | 65% | |||||||
| 2/20/2027 | #227 | Jacksonville St | 0-0 | @ Liberty | W | Liberty (-6.95) | 74% | |||||||
| 2/25/2027 | Liberty | #194 | @ New Mexico St | 0-0 | L | New Mexico St (-0.27) | 49% | |||||||
| 2/27/2027 | Liberty | #108 | @ Sam Houston St | 0-0 | L | Sam Houston St (-3.82) | 36% | |||||||
| 3/6/2027 | Liberty | #281 | @ Delaware | 0-0 | W | Delaware (+5.24) | 69% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 114-1016.6% 213-1116.3% 315-914.2% 412-1213.4% 516-810.1% 611-139.3% Chance of winning all 24 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||