| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/5/2026 | #306 | East Texas A&M | 0-0 | @ Rice | W | Rice (-6.91) | 74% | |||||||
| 11/9/2026 | Rice | #53 | @ Stanford | 0-0 | L | Stanford (-15.49) | 8% | |||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Rice | #90 | @ SF Austin | 0-0 | L | SF Austin (-9.62) | 19% | |||||||
| 11/17/2026 | #204 | TAM C. Christi | 0-0 | @ Rice | W | Rice (-1.21) | 55% | |||||||
| 11/22/2026 | #275 | Lamar | 0-0 | Rice | ✓ | W | Rice (-0.58) | 52% | ||||||
| 11/24/2026 | #128 | IL Chicago | 0-0 | Rice | ✓ | L | Rice (+5.60) | 30% | ||||||
| 11/25/2026 | #216 | Ohio | 0-0 | Rice | ✓ | L | Rice (+2.00) | 42% | ||||||
| 11/29/2026 | Rice | #147 | @ Arkansas St | 0-0 | L | Arkansas St (-5.87) | 29% | |||||||
| 12/4/2026 | #108 | Sam Houston St | 0-0 | @ Rice | L | Rice (+2.68) | 40% | |||||||
| 12/10/2026 | #250 | Nicholls St | 0-0 | @ Rice | W | Rice (-4.17) | 66% | |||||||
| 12/19/2026 | Rice | #245 | @ Denver | 0-0 | L | Denver (-2.17) | 42% | |||||||
| 12/22/2026 | #312 | TX Southern | 0-0 | @ Rice | W | Rice (-8.92) | 80% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 15-724.6% 26-623.0% 34-817.8% 47-514.7% 53-98.5% 68-46.3% Chance of winning all 12 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||