| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/5/2026 | #72 | McNeese St | 0-0 | @ North Texas | L | North Texas (+1.15) | 46% | |||||||
| 11/11/2026 | #35 | Santa Clara | 0-0 | @ North Texas | L | North Texas (+5.77) | 29% | |||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #187 | South Alabama | 0-0 | @ North Texas | W | North Texas (-6.97) | 75% | |||||||
| 11/20/2026 | North Texas | #195 | @ Appalachian St | 0-0 | W | Appalachian St (+0.52) | 52% | |||||||
| 11/27/2026 | #114 | N Dakota St | 0-0 | North Texas | ✓ | L | North Texas (+0.56) | 48% | ||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #51 | Boise St | 0-0 | North Texas | ✓ | L | North Texas (+6.40) | 27% | ||||||
| 11/29/2026 | #211 | Drake | 0-0 | North Texas | ✓ | W | North Texas (-0.14) | 51% | ||||||
| 12/4/2026 | #113 | Bradley | 0-0 | @ North Texas | W | North Texas (-1.96) | 57% | |||||||
| 12/6/2026 | #365 | MS Valley St | 0-0 | @ North Texas | W | North Texas (-26.29) | 98% | |||||||
| 12/13/2026 | North Texas | #223 | Texas St | 0-0 | ✓ | W | Texas St (+5.79) | 71% | ||||||
| 12/16/2026 | #135 | Winthrop | 0-0 | @ North Texas | W | North Texas (-4.41) | 66% | |||||||
| 12/20/2026 | #237 | Bethune-Cookman | 0-0 | @ North Texas | W | North Texas (-10.53) | 83% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 17-525.2% 28-421.3% 36-620.2% 49-312.0% 55-711.0% 610-24.3% Chance of winning all 12 remaining games: 0.1% | ||||||||||||||