| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/2/2026 | Memphis | #9 | Iowa St | 0-0 | ✓ | L | Iowa St (-15.20) | 9% | ||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #38 | VCU | 0-0 | @ Memphis | L | Memphis (+3.21) | 38% | |||||||
| 11/10/2026 | Memphis | #16 | @ Vanderbilt | 0-0 | L | Vanderbilt (-18.01) | 6% | |||||||
| 11/15/2026 | #21 | Louisville | 0-0 | @ Memphis | L | Memphis (+8.98) | 20% | |||||||
| 11/22/2026 | #299 | Evansville | 0-0 | @ Memphis | W | Memphis (-12.51) | 87% | |||||||
| 11/25/2026 | Memphis | #127 | Penn St | 0-0 | ✓ | W | Penn St (+0.07) | 50% | ||||||
| 11/29/2026 | #67 | Dayton | 0-0 | Memphis | ✓ | L | Memphis (+3.40) | 37% | ||||||
| 12/2/2026 | #327 | Jackson St | 0-0 | @ Memphis | W | Memphis (-19.92) | 96% | |||||||
| 12/5/2026 | Memphis | #56 | @ Baylor | 0-0 | L | Baylor (-11.54) | 14% | |||||||
| 12/11/2026 | #71 | Grand Canyon | 0-0 | @ Memphis | L | Memphis (+1.73) | 43% | |||||||
| 12/16/2026 | Memphis | #42 | @ Texas | 0-0 | L | Texas (-13.18) | 12% | |||||||
| 12/22/2026 | #325 | Ark Little Rock | 0-0 | @ Memphis | W | Memphis (-14.89) | 91% | |||||||
| 2/20/2027 | #22 | Utah St | 0-0 | @ Memphis | L | Memphis (+6.35) | 27% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 15-828.2% 26-724.3% 34-919.7% 47-613.2% 53-107.5% 68-54.6% Chance of winning all 13 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||