| Date | Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/2/2026 | #337 | Canisius | 0-0 | @ Penn St | W | Penn St (-17.89) | 94% | |||||||
| 11/5/2026 | #304 | Chattanooga | 0-0 | @ Penn St | W | Penn St (-13.25) | 88% | |||||||
| 11/8/2026 | Penn St | #107 | Pittsburgh | 0-0 | ✓ | L | Pittsburgh (-2.71) | 40% | ||||||
| 11/12/2026 | #288 | Mercyhurst | 0-0 | @ Penn St | W | Penn St (-12.36) | 87% | |||||||
| 11/15/2026 | #318 | New Haven | 0-0 | @ Penn St | W | Penn St (-15.43) | 91% | |||||||
| 11/18/2026 | #334 | IUPUI | 0-0 | @ Penn St | W | Penn St (-14.54) | 90% | |||||||
| 11/25/2026 | #133 | Memphis | 0-0 | Penn St | ✓ | L | Penn St (+0.07) | 50% | ||||||
| 12/1/2026 | #339 | SUNY Albany | 0-0 | @ Penn St | W | Penn St (-15.49) | 92% | |||||||
| 12/8/2026 | #15 | Nebraska | 0-0 | @ Penn St | L | Penn St (+8.88) | 20% | |||||||
| 12/12/2026 | Penn St | #6 | @ Illinois | 0-0 | L | Illinois (-21.85) | 3% | |||||||
| 12/16/2026 | #214 | TN Martin | 0-0 | @ Penn St | W | Penn St (-9.17) | 80% | |||||||
| 12/19/2026 | #326 | Lafayette | 0-0 | Penn St | ✓ | W | Penn St (-10.46) | 83% | ||||||
| 12/22/2026 | #105 | St Joseph's PA | 0-0 | Penn St | ✓ | W | Penn St (-0.38) | 51% | ||||||
| 1/2/2027 | #95 | Oregon | 0-0 | @ Penn St | L | Penn St (+0.25) | 49% | |||||||
| 1/6/2027 | Penn St | #85 | @ Minnesota | 0-0 | L | Minnesota (-7.43) | 24% | |||||||
| 1/10/2027 | #74 | Northwestern | 0-0 | @ Penn St | L | Penn St (+2.75) | 40% | |||||||
| 1/13/2027 | Penn St | #24 | @ Wisconsin | 0-0 | L | Wisconsin (-14.95) | 9% | |||||||
| 1/17/2027 | Penn St | #31 | @ Ohio St | 0-0 | L | Ohio St (-14.67) | 9% | |||||||
| 1/20/2027 | #8 | Purdue | 0-0 | @ Penn St | L | Penn St (+11.41) | 15% | |||||||
| 1/23/2027 | Penn St | #28 | @ Iowa | 0-0 | L | Iowa (-15.13) | 9% | |||||||
| 1/26/2027 | Penn St | #10 | @ Michigan St | 0-0 | L | Michigan St (-19.55) | 5% | |||||||
| 1/30/2027 | #119 | Maryland | 0-0 | @ Penn St | W | Penn St (-2.40) | 59% | |||||||
| 2/2/2027 | #47 | Indiana | 0-0 | @ Penn St | L | Penn St (+5.61) | 30% | |||||||
| 2/6/2027 | #31 | Ohio St | 0-0 | @ Penn St | L | Penn St (+7.29) | 25% | |||||||
| 2/12/2027 | Penn St | #15 | @ Nebraska | 0-0 | L | Nebraska (-17.75) | 6% | |||||||
| 2/17/2027 | #63 | Washington | 0-0 | @ Penn St | L | Penn St (+3.91) | 35% | |||||||
| 2/20/2027 | Penn St | #112 | @ Rutgers | 0-0 | L | Rutgers (-3.72) | 36% | |||||||
| 2/23/2027 | #1 | Michigan | 0-0 | @ Penn St | L | Penn St (+17.40) | 6% | |||||||
| 2/27/2027 | Penn St | #27 | @ UCLA | 0-0 | L | UCLA (-14.37) | 10% | |||||||
| 3/2/2027 | Penn St | #69 | @ USC | 0-0 | L | USC (-7.48) | 24% | |||||||
| 3/7/2027 | #112 | Rutgers | 0-0 | @ Penn St | W | Penn St (-2.24) | 59% | |||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 113-1818.6% 214-1717.2% 312-1916.1% 415-1612.9% 511-2011.2% 616-157.9% Chance of winning all 31 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||