| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | Boise State | 27 | #12 | @ Oregon | 4-2 | 34 | L | Oregon (-24.23) | 0% | 17.23 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #55 | Memphis | 5-2 | 20 | @ Boise State | 38 | W | Boise State (-6.28) | 100% | 11.72 | ||||||
| 9/20/2026 | #92 | South Dakota | 6-2 | 24 | @ Boise State | 38 | W | Boise State (-18.84) | 100% | -4.84 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Boise State | 32 | #50 | @ Western Michigan | 5-2 | 7 | W | Western Michigan (+0.08) | 100% | 24.92 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #107 | Utah State | 2-4 | 18 | @ Boise State | 37 | W | Boise State (-17.75) | 100% | 1.25 | ||||||
| 10/11/2026 | Boise State | 38 | #76 | @ Fresno State | 4-3 | 31 | W | Fresno State (+8.03) | 100% | -1.03 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Boise State | #139 | @ Washington State | 1-6 | W | Washington State (+13.34) | 79% | |||||||||
| 11/1/2026 | #46 | Texas State | 3-3 | @ Boise State | W | Boise State (-8.98) | 71% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Boise State | #99 | @ Colorado State | 2-4 | W | Colorado State (+16.58) | 84% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #30 | Oregon State | 5-2 | @ Boise State | W | Boise State (-2.36) | 56% | |||||||||
| 11/22/2026 | #81 | San Diego State | 3-4 | @ Boise State | W | Boise State (-22.02) | 90% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 19-241.9% 28-326.1% 310-123.8% 47-47.3% 56-50.9% 65-6<0.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 23.8% | ||||||||||||||||