| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | UTEP | 0 | #34 | @ Oklahoma | 3-3 | 51 | L | Oklahoma (-33.18) | 0% | -17.82 | ||||||
| 9/13/2026 | #261 | Texas Southern | 1-5 | 10 | @ UTEP | 51 | W | UTEP (-15.82) | 100% | 25.18 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | UTEP | 17 | #38 | @ Michigan | 4-2 | 52 | L | Michigan (-30.33) | 0% | -4.67 | ||||||
| 9/27/2026 | #30 | Oregon State | 5-2 | 33 | @ UTEP | 7 | L | UTEP (+10.35) | 0% | -15.65 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | UTEP | 7 | #58 | @ New Mexico | 5-1 | 61 | L | New Mexico (-27.58) | 0% | -26.42 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #131 | Nevada | 2-4 | 30 | ✓ | @ UTEP | 13 | L | UTEP (+9.41) | 0% | -7.59 | |||||
| 10/18/2026 | #110 | San José State | 4-3 | 24 | @ UTEP | 11 | L | UTEP (+8.23) | 0% | -4.77 | ||||||
| 10/31/2026 | UTEP | #57 | @ North Dakota State | 6-1 | L | North Dakota State (-26.16) | 7% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #174 | Hawai'i | 1-6 | @ UTEP | L | UTEP (+5.03) | 38% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #120 | Wyoming | 4-3 | @ UTEP | L | UTEP (+6.27) | 35% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | UTEP | #65 | @ Air Force | 5-1 | L | Air Force (-24.54) | 8% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | UTEP | #175 | @ Northern Illinois | 0-6 | L | Northern Illinois (-6.37) | 35% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 12-1041.6% 23-927.3% 31-1122.8% 44-87.5% 55-70.8% 66-6<0.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||||