| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | Northern Illinois | 0 | #21 | @ Iowa | 5-1 | 40 | L | Iowa (-31.86) | 0% | -8.14 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #114 | Illinois State | 4-2 | 28 | @ Northern Illinois | 24 | L | Northern Illinois (+6.82) | 0% | 2.82 | ||||||
| 9/20/2026 | Northern Illinois | 17 | #25 | @ Arizona | 5-1 | 42 | L | Arizona (-26.99) | 0% | 1.99 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Northern Illinois | 14 | #91 | @ Georgia State | 4-2 | 35 | L | Georgia State (-8.09) | 0% | -12.91 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | ✓ | #65 | Air Force | 5-1 | 28 | @ Northern Illinois | 7 | L | Northern Illinois (+8.02) | 0% | -12.98 | |||||
| 10/17/2026 | Northern Illinois | 23 | #120 | @ Wyoming | 4-3 | 41 | L | Wyoming (-5.08) | 0% | -12.92 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #174 | Hawai'i | 1-6 | @ Northern Illinois | L | Northern Illinois (+1.60) | 46% | |||||||||
| 11/1/2026 | Northern Illinois | #82 | @ UNLV | 4-3 | L | UNLV (-15.74) | 17% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Northern Illinois | #110 | @ San José State | 4-3 | L | San José State (-7.91) | 31% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #131 | Nevada | 2-4 | @ Northern Illinois | L | Northern Illinois (+7.13) | 33% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Northern Illinois | #57 | @ North Dakota State | 6-1 | L | North Dakota State (-21.72) | 10% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #195 | UTEP | 1-6 | @ Northern Illinois | W | Northern Illinois (-6.37) | 65% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 12-1036.1% 21-1125.7% 33-923.3% 44-87.4% 50-126.4% 65-71.1% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 0.1% | ||||||||||||||||