| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/6/2026 | #104 | Central Michigan | 3-4 | 7 | @ New Mexico | 38 | W | New Mexico (-10.56) | 100% | 20.44 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #249 | Mercyhurst | 0-6 | 7 | @ New Mexico | 70 | W | New Mexico (-42.26) | 100% | 20.74 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | New Mexico | 6 | #34 | @ Oklahoma | 3-3 | 14 | L | Oklahoma (-11.70) | 0% | 3.70 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | New Mexico | 42 | #162 | @ New Mexico State | 2-4 | 18 | W | New Mexico State (+11.62) | 100% | 12.38 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #195 | UTEP | 1-6 | 7 | @ New Mexico | 61 | W | New Mexico (-27.58) | 100% | 26.42 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | New Mexico | 21 | #174 | @ Hawai'i | 1-6 | 10 | W | Hawai'i (+21.14) | 100% | -10.14 | ||||||
| 10/25/2026 | #57 | North Dakota State | 6-1 | @ New Mexico | W | New Mexico (-8.28) | 70% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | New Mexico | #110 | @ San José State | 4-3 | W | San José State (+15.35) | 82% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | New Mexico | #131 | @ Nevada | 2-4 | W | Nevada (+13.34) | 79% | |||||||||
| 11/15/2026 | #82 | UNLV | 4-3 | @ New Mexico | W | New Mexico (-12.04) | 77% | |||||||||
| 11/22/2026 | New Mexico | #120 | @ Wyoming | 4-3 | W | Wyoming (+17.38) | 85% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #65 | Air Force | 5-1 | @ New Mexico | W | New Mexico (-10.74) | 75% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 110-238.3% 29-327.2% 311-122.1% 48-410.1% 57-52.1% 66-60.2% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 22.1% | ||||||||||||||||