| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | NC State | 8 | #86 | @ Virginia | 4-3 | 34 | L | Virginia (-5.08) | 0% | -20.92 | ||||||
| 9/11/2026 | #183 | Richmond | 5-2 | 0 | @ NC State | 73 | W | NC State (-30.85) | 100% | 42.15 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | NC State | 31 | #85 | @ Vanderbilt | 3-4 | 35 | L | Vanderbilt (-4.19) | 0% | 0.19 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #123 | App State | 4-2 | 31 | @ NC State | 41 | W | NC State (-18.26) | 100% | -8.26 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #40 | Louisville | 4-3 | 28 | @ NC State | 31 | W | NC State (-0.92) | 100% | 2.08 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #19 | Wake Forest | 6-1 | 38 | @ NC State | 14 | L | NC State (-0.44) | 0% | -24.44 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | NC State | #103 | @ Stanford | 3-4 | W | Stanford (+9.94) | 73% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #95 | California | 3-4 | @ NC State | W | NC State (-8.04) | 69% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #48 | Duke | 4-2 | @ NC State | L | NC State (+0.90) | 48% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #118 | Syracuse | 2-4 | @ NC State | W | NC State (-4.02) | 60% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | NC State | #70 | @ Florida State | 3-4 | L | Florida State (-8.28) | 30% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | NC State | #29 | @ North Carolina | 4-2 | L | North Carolina (-9.34) | 28% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 16-633.7% 27-525.5% 35-722.3% 48-49.2% 54-87.1% 69-31.2% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 1.2% | ||||||||||||||||