| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #229 | Duquesne | 1-4 | 0 | @ Air Force | 34 | W | Air Force (-23.14) | 100% | 10.86 | ||||||
| 9/13/2026 | #57 | North Dakota State | 6-1 | 38 | @ Air Force | 32 | L | Air Force (+5.71) | 0% | -0.29 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Air Force | 36 | #131 | @ Nevada | 2-4 | 33 | W | Nevada (+2.21) | 100% | 0.79 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #125 | Navy | 2-4 | 9 | @ Air Force | 14 | W | Air Force (-2.08) | 100% | 2.92 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | ✓ | Air Force | 28 | #175 | @ Northern Illinois | 0-6 | 7 | W | Northern Illinois (+8.02) | 100% | 12.98 | |||||
| 10/17/2026 | #82 | UNLV | 4-3 | 31 | ✓ | @ Air Force | 41 | W | Air Force (-1.49) | 100% | 8.51 | |||||
| 10/24/2026 | Air Force | #120 | @ Wyoming | 4-3 | W | Wyoming (+7.68) | 68% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #132 | UConn | 3-3 | @ Air Force | W | Air Force (-6.25) | 65% | |||||||||
| 11/8/2026 | Air Force | #52 | @ Army | 4-2 | L | Army (-5.50) | 37% | |||||||||
| 11/15/2026 | #110 | San José State | 4-3 | @ Air Force | W | Air Force (-12.10) | 77% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #195 | UTEP | 1-6 | @ Air Force | W | Air Force (-24.54) | 92% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Air Force | #58 | @ New Mexico | 5-1 | L | New Mexico (-10.74) | 25% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 19-335.8% 28-430.0% 310-217.8% 47-511.5% 511-12.9% 66-61.9% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 2.9% | ||||||||||||||||