| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | Western Michigan | 12 | #38 | @ Michigan | 4-2 | 13 | L | Michigan (-15.66) | 0% | 14.66 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #148 | Monmouth | 5-2 | 14 | @ Western Michigan | 49 | W | Western Michigan (-26.22) | 100% | 8.78 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Western Michigan | 28 | #142 | @ Rice | 1-6 | 21 | W | Rice (+13.86) | 100% | -6.86 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #20 | Boise State | 5-1 | 32 | @ Western Michigan | 7 | L | Western Michigan (+0.08) | 0% | -24.92 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Western Michigan | 20 | #109 | @ Buffalo | 4-3 | 17 | W | Buffalo (+13.58) | 100% | -10.58 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #136 | Kent State | 2-5 | 7 | @ Western Michigan | 38 | W | Western Michigan (-18.30) | 100% | 12.70 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Western Michigan | 21 | #104 | @ Central Michigan | 3-4 | 14 | W | Central Michigan (+6.40) | 100% | 0.60 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Western Michigan | #74 | @ Toledo | 5-2 | L | Toledo (-4.94) | 38% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #147 | Bowling Green | 2-5 | @ Western Michigan | W | Western Michigan (-15.27) | 82% | |||||||||
| 11/11/2026 | Western Michigan | #182 | @ Akron | 1-6 | W | Akron (+12.53) | 78% | |||||||||
| 11/18/2026 | #134 | Eastern Michigan | 4-4 | @ Western Michigan | W | Western Michigan (-13.95) | 80% | |||||||||
| 11/24/2026 | #115 | Miami (OH) | 4-3 | @ Western Michigan | W | Western Michigan (-10.13) | 73% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 19-339.2% 28-432.5% 310-214.2% 47-511.9% 56-62.0% 65-70.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 14.2% | ||||||||||||||||