| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | Ohio | 21 | #24 | @ Nebraska | 5-2 | 49 | L | Nebraska (-11.44) | 0% | -16.56 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #88 | Jacksonville State | 5-2 | 27 | @ Ohio | 29 | W | Ohio (-4.79) | 100% | -2.79 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Ohio | 36 | #67 | @ South Alabama | 4-2 | 41 | L | South Alabama (-2.70) | 0% | -2.30 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #231 | Stonehill | 2-5 | 7 | @ Ohio | 35 | W | Ohio (-34.40) | 100% | -6.40 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Ohio | 13 | #136 | @ Kent State | 2-5 | 10 | W | Kent State (+10.92) | 100% | -7.92 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #104 | Central Michigan | 3-4 | 14 | ✓ | @ Ohio | 31 | W | Ohio (-7.12) | 100% | 9.88 | |||||
| 10/17/2026 | Ohio | 48 | #224 | @ Sacramento State | 1-6 | 7 | W | Sacramento State (+12.60) | 100% | 28.40 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #134 | Eastern Michigan | 4-4 | @ Ohio | W | Ohio (-12.93) | 78% | |||||||||
| 11/4/2026 | Ohio | #182 | @ Akron | 1-6 | W | Akron (+11.70) | 76% | |||||||||
| 11/11/2026 | Ohio | #115 | @ Miami (OH) | 4-3 | W | Miami (OH) (+2.79) | 57% | |||||||||
| 11/18/2026 | #138 | Ball State | 2-5 | @ Ohio | W | Ohio (-17.02) | 85% | |||||||||
| 11/27/2026 | #74 | Toledo | 5-2 | @ Ohio | W | Ohio (-1.06) | 53% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 19-336.8% 28-432.5% 310-215.2% 47-513.0% 56-62.4% 65-70.2% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 15.2% | ||||||||||||||||