| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/3/2026 | Massachusetts | 37 | #111 | @ Rutgers | 2-4 | 21 | W | Rutgers (-31.69) | 100% | 47.69 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #240 | Sacred Heart | 3-4 | 10 | @ Massachusetts | 37 | W | Massachusetts (-7.62) | 100% | 19.38 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #231 | Stonehill | 2-5 | 14 | @ Massachusetts | 36 | W | Massachusetts (-18.68) | 100% | 3.32 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Massachusetts | 35 | #224 | @ Sacramento State | 1-6 | 6 | W | Sacramento State (-2.45) | 100% | 31.45 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #134 | Eastern Michigan | 4-4 | 38 | @ Massachusetts | 14 | L | Massachusetts (-5.93) | 0% | -29.93 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | ✓ | #115 | Miami (OH) | 4-3 | 20 | ✓ | @ Massachusetts | 19 | L | Massachusetts (+3.24) | 0% | 2.24 | ||||
| 10/17/2026 | ✓ | Massachusetts | 18 | #109 | @ Buffalo | 4-3 | 25 | L | Buffalo (-2.89) | 0% | -4.11 | |||||
| 10/23/2026 | Massachusetts | #132 | @ UConn | 3-3 | L | UConn (-11.97) | 23% | |||||||||
| 11/4/2026 | #138 | Ball State | 2-5 | @ Massachusetts | W | Massachusetts (-5.25) | 63% | |||||||||
| 11/11/2026 | Massachusetts | #74 | @ Toledo | 5-2 | L | Toledo (-14.38) | 19% | |||||||||
| 11/18/2026 | #182 | Akron | 1-6 | @ Massachusetts | W | Massachusetts (-5.79) | 64% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Massachusetts | #147 | @ Bowling Green | 2-5 | W | Bowling Green (+1.75) | 54% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 16-636.8% 27-529.5% 35-719.7% 48-49.3% 54-83.8% 69-31.0% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 1.0% | ||||||||||||||||