| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | Kent State | 0 | #37 | @ South Carolina | 3-3 | 57 | L | South Carolina (-24.43) | 0% | -32.57 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #178 | Wofford | 5-3 | 15 | @ Kent State | 36 | W | Kent State (+2.10) | 100% | 23.10 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Kent State | 3 | #4 | @ Ohio State | 6-1 | 59 | L | Ohio State (-48.17) | 0% | -7.83 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | ✓ | #138 | Ball State | 2-5 | 13 | @ Kent State | 26 | W | Kent State (-3.54) | 100% | 9.46 | |||||
| 10/3/2026 | #73 | Ohio | 5-2 | 13 | @ Kent State | 10 | L | Kent State (+10.92) | 0% | 7.92 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Kent State | 7 | #50 | @ Western Michigan | 5-2 | 38 | L | Western Michigan (-18.30) | 0% | -12.70 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Kent State | 2 | #71 | @ South Florida | 5-2 | 29 | L | South Florida (-21.84) | 0% | -5.16 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #182 | Akron | 1-6 | @ Kent State | W | Kent State (-1.61) | 54% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Kent State | #224 | @ Sacramento State | 1-6 | W | Sacramento State (+3.26) | 58% | |||||||||
| 11/11/2026 | Kent State | #147 | @ Bowling Green | 2-5 | L | Bowling Green (-3.46) | 41% | |||||||||
| 11/18/2026 | #115 | Miami (OH) | 4-3 | @ Kent State | L | Kent State (+5.80) | 36% | |||||||||
| 11/25/2026 | Kent State | #134 | @ Eastern Michigan | 4-4 | L | Eastern Michigan (-5.95) | 36% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 14-834.4% 25-727.9% 33-920.4% 46-610.9% 52-104.7% 67-51.7% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 1.7% | ||||||||||||||||