| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | #224 | Sacramento State | 1-6 | 17 | @ Eastern Michigan | 28 | W | Eastern Michigan (-1.11) | 100% | 9.89 | ||||||
| 9/4/2026 | #110 | San José State | 4-3 | 27 | @ Eastern Michigan | 21 | L | Eastern Michigan (-2.21) | 0% | -8.21 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Eastern Michigan | 7 | #79 | @ Michigan State | 2-5 | 35 | L | Michigan State (-17.01) | 0% | -10.99 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Eastern Michigan | 10 | #33 | @ Wisconsin | 4-2 | 54 | L | Wisconsin (-17.72) | 0% | -26.28 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #219 | Lindenwood | 2-4 | 3 | @ Eastern Michigan | 29 | W | Eastern Michigan (-10.57) | 100% | 15.43 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Eastern Michigan | 38 | #143 | @ Massachusetts | 4-3 | 14 | W | Massachusetts (-5.93) | 100% | 29.93 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Eastern Michigan | 25 | #182 | @ Akron | 1-6 | 23 | W | Akron (+4.24) | 100% | -2.24 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #74 | Toledo | 5-2 | 34 | @ Eastern Michigan | 14 | L | Eastern Michigan (+10.15) | 0% | -9.85 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Eastern Michigan | #73 | @ Ohio | 5-2 | L | Ohio (-12.93) | 22% | |||||||||
| 11/4/2026 | #104 | Central Michigan | 3-4 | Eastern Michigan | ✓ | L | Eastern Michigan (+1.85) | 45% | ||||||||
| 11/18/2026 | Eastern Michigan | #50 | @ Western Michigan | 5-2 | L | Western Michigan (-13.95) | 20% | |||||||||
| 11/25/2026 | #136 | Kent State | 2-5 | @ Eastern Michigan | W | Eastern Michigan (-5.95) | 64% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 15-738.7% 26-636.1% 34-812.2% 47-511.8% 58-41.3% Chance of winning all 4 remaining games: 1.3% | ||||||||||||||||