| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/6/2026 | Central Michigan | 7 | #58 | @ New Mexico | 5-1 | 38 | L | New Mexico (-10.56) | 0% | -20.44 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #141 | Colgate | 4-3 | 10 | @ Central Michigan | 13 | W | Central Michigan (-11.08) | 100% | -8.08 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #120 | Wyoming | 4-3 | 10 | @ Central Michigan | 24 | W | Central Michigan (-3.26) | 100% | 10.74 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Central Michigan | 3 | #3 | @ Miami | 6-0 | 52 | L | Miami (-38.98) | 0% | -10.02 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #182 | Akron | 1-6 | 17 | @ Central Michigan | 41 | W | Central Michigan (-5.70) | 100% | 18.30 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Central Michigan | 14 | ✓ | #73 | @ Ohio | 5-2 | 31 | L | Ohio (-7.12) | 0% | -9.88 | |||||
| 10/17/2026 | #50 | Western Michigan | 5-2 | 21 | @ Central Michigan | 14 | L | Central Michigan (+6.40) | 0% | -0.60 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #115 | Miami (OH) | 4-3 | @ Central Michigan | W | Central Michigan (-0.95) | 52% | |||||||||
| 11/4/2026 | Central Michigan | #134 | Eastern Michigan | 4-4 | ✓ | W | Eastern Michigan (+1.85) | 55% | ||||||||
| 11/11/2026 | #224 | Sacramento State | 1-6 | @ Central Michigan | W | Central Michigan (-16.44) | 84% | |||||||||
| 11/18/2026 | Central Michigan | #109 | @ Buffalo | 4-3 | L | Buffalo (-1.46) | 46% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Central Michigan | #138 | @ Ball State | 2-5 | W | Ball State (+3.37) | 58% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 16-635.9% 27-524.7% 35-724.6% 44-87.6% 58-46.5% 63-90.8% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 6.5% | ||||||||||||||||