| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | Miami | 45 | #103 | @ Stanford | 3-4 | 6 | W | Stanford (+15.20) | 100% | 23.80 | ||||||
| 9/11/2026 | #227 | Florida A&M | 1-5 | 7 | @ Miami | 77 | W | Miami (-71.02) | 100% | -1.02 | ||||||
| 9/18/2026 | Miami | 33 | #19 | @ Wake Forest | 6-1 | 20 | W | Wake Forest (+15.87) | 100% | -2.87 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #104 | Central Michigan | 3-4 | 3 | @ Miami | 52 | W | Miami (-38.98) | 100% | 10.02 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Miami | 41 | #35 | @ Clemson | 4-2 | 13 | W | Clemson (+18.73) | 100% | 9.27 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #70 | Florida State | 3-4 | 35 | @ Miami | 43 | W | Miami (-22.77) | 100% | -14.77 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #59 | Pittsburgh | 5-2 | @ Miami | W | Miami (-17.56) | 85% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Miami | #29 | @ North Carolina | 4-2 | W | North Carolina (+11.63) | 76% | |||||||||
| 11/8/2026 | Miami | #2 | @ Notre Dame | 6-1 | L | Notre Dame (-5.39) | 37% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #48 | Duke | 4-2 | @ Miami | W | Miami (-19.54) | 88% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #83 | Virginia Tech | 5-2 | @ Miami | W | Miami (-23.50) | 91% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #101 | Boston College | 3-3 | @ Miami | W | Miami (-32.59) | 96% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 111-145.6% 210-227.9% 312-018.4% 49-37.1% 58-40.9% 67-5<0.1% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 18.4% | ||||||||||||||||