| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/6/2026 | Western Kentucky | 14 | #131 | @ Nevada | 2-4 | 49 | L | Nevada (+2.18) | 0% | -37.18 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Western Kentucky | 20 | #13 | @ Georgia | 6-1 | 70 | L | Georgia (-32.71) | 0% | -17.29 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Western Kentucky | 0 | #14 | @ Indiana | 6-1 | 38 | L | Indiana (-51.58) | 0% | 13.58 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #249 | Mercyhurst | 0-6 | 7 | @ Western Kentucky | 52 | W | Western Kentucky (-27.28) | 100% | 17.72 | ||||||
| 10/2/2026 | Western Kentucky | 13 | ✓ | #162 | @ New Mexico State | 2-4 | 34 | L | New Mexico State (-0.42) | 0% | -20.58 | |||||
| 10/8/2026 | #163 | Missouri State | 2-4 | 13 | ✓ | @ Western Kentucky | 34 | W | Western Kentucky (-2.42) | 100% | 18.58 | |||||
| 10/15/2026 | Western Kentucky | 16 | #161 | @ Sam Houston | 1-5 | 3 | W | Sam Houston (-3.72) | 100% | 16.72 | ||||||
| 10/27/2026 | #166 | Delaware | 2-4 | @ Western Kentucky | W | Western Kentucky (-6.28) | 65% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Western Kentucky | #159 | @ Middle Tennessee | 3-3 | W | Middle Tennessee (+3.83) | 59% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #88 | Jacksonville State | 5-2 | @ Western Kentucky | L | Western Kentucky (+0.82) | 48% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Western Kentucky | #63 | @ Liberty | 5-1 | L | Liberty (-15.34) | 18% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #172 | Kennesaw State | 1-5 | @ Western Kentucky | W | Western Kentucky (-1.09) | 53% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 15-733.5% 26-632.3% 34-816.0% 47-513.6% 53-92.9% 68-41.7% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 1.7% | ||||||||||||||||