| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | Liberty | 13 | #26 | @ James Madison | 7-0 | 20 | L | James Madison (-23.31) | 0% | 16.31 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #217 | Gardner-Webb | 2-6 | 23 | @ Liberty | 24 | W | Liberty (-18.42) | 100% | -17.42 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #138 | Ball State | 2-5 | 15 | @ Liberty | 51 | W | Liberty (-10.89) | 100% | 25.11 | ||||||
| 9/24/2026 | Liberty | 34 | #157 | @ Coastal Carolina | 2-5 | 17 | W | Coastal Carolina (+2.86) | 100% | 14.14 | ||||||
| 10/2/2026 | Liberty | 30 | ✓ | #166 | @ Delaware | 2-4 | 14 | W | Delaware (+4.53) | 100% | 11.47 | |||||
| 10/8/2026 | #161 | Sam Houston | 1-5 | 3 | @ Liberty | 35 | W | Liberty (-12.46) | 100% | 19.54 | ||||||
| 10/22/2026 | Liberty | #172 | @ Kennesaw State | 1-5 | W | Kennesaw State (+6.45) | 66% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #108 | Florida International | 3-3 | @ Liberty | W | Liberty (-11.57) | 76% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Liberty | #162 | @ New Mexico State | 2-4 | W | New Mexico State (+9.02) | 71% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #159 | Middle Tennessee | 3-3 | @ Liberty | W | Liberty (-21.95) | 90% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #137 | Western Kentucky | 3-4 | @ Liberty | W | Liberty (-15.34) | 82% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Liberty | #163 | @ Missouri State | 2-4 | W | Missouri State (+15.47) | 82% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 110-238.7% 29-327.5% 311-121.7% 48-410.0% 57-51.9% 66-60.2% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 21.7% | ||||||||||||||||