| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | Jacksonville State | 7 | #57 | @ North Dakota State | 6-1 | 33 | L | North Dakota State (-19.16) | 0% | -6.84 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | #222 | Eastern Kentucky | 2-5 | 7 | @ Jacksonville State | 49 | W | Jacksonville State (-16.55) | 100% | 25.45 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Jacksonville State | 27 | #73 | @ Ohio | 5-2 | 29 | L | Ohio (-4.79) | 0% | 2.79 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #94 | Georgia Southern | 3-4 | 27 | @ Jacksonville State | 31 | W | Jacksonville State (-6.55) | 100% | -2.55 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #159 | Middle Tennessee | 3-3 | 13 | @ Jacksonville State | 23 | W | Jacksonville State (-10.49) | 100% | -0.49 | ||||||
| 10/7/2026 | Jacksonville State | 27 | #172 | @ Kennesaw State | 1-5 | 26 | W | Kennesaw State (-3.36) | 100% | 4.36 | ||||||
| 10/14/2026 | #108 | Florida International | 3-3 | 24 | @ Jacksonville State | 27 | W | Jacksonville State (-4.55) | 100% | -1.55 | ||||||
| 10/29/2026 | Jacksonville State | #162 | @ New Mexico State | 2-4 | W | New Mexico State (+1.07) | 53% | |||||||||
| 11/8/2026 | #161 | Sam Houston | 1-5 | @ Jacksonville State | W | Jacksonville State (-9.51) | 72% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Jacksonville State | #137 | @ Western Kentucky | 3-4 | W | Western Kentucky (+0.82) | 52% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #163 | Missouri State | 2-4 | @ Jacksonville State | W | Jacksonville State (-12.71) | 78% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Jacksonville State | #166 | @ Delaware | 2-4 | W | Delaware (+4.51) | 61% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 18-435.2% 29-329.5% 37-520.0% 410-29.4% 56-65.3% 65-70.5% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 9.4% | ||||||||||||||||